Alavés at Real Madrid Odds, Picks & Prediction
Real Madrid will win 2-1 against Alavés. Despite devastating injuries to Mbappé, Rodrygo, Bellingham, Courtois, and eight others, Real's L10 form (1-0, 3 PPG, 2 allowed) outshines Alavés' scoreless streak (0-0 L10, 0 PPG), backing their -425 moneyline favoritism.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Alavés at Real Madrid
- Date
- Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
- Spread
- Real Madrid -1.75
- Total
- O/U 3
- Moneyline
- Real Madrid -425 / Alavés +850
- Best Bet
- Real Madrid -1.75
- Prediction
- Real Madrid 2-1
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +850 | -425 | -1.75 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 3 | Total | |
| +850 | -425 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
Real Madrid welcomes Alavés to the Santiago Bernabéu in La Liga action on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, at 3:30 PM ET. The hosts enter with solid recent form: 1-0 record in their last 10, averaging 3 PPG while allowing 2 per game, riding a W1 streak. Alavés, meanwhile, is 0-0 in L10, scoring and allowing 0 PPG with no streak. Alavés boasts a stingy defense, ranked #3 in allowing goals at just 0.1288 per game to all positions.
By The Numbers
| Stat | Real Madrid (Home) | Alavés (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| PPG | 3 | 0 |
| Opp PPG | 2 | 0 |
| Streak | W1 | 0 |
Key Injuries
Real Madrid is severely depleted:
- Thibaut Courtois (Goalkeeper) — Out
- Rodrygo (Right Winger) — Out
- Kylian Mbappé (Centre-Forward) — Out
- Ferland Mendy (Left-Back) — Out
- Álvaro Carreras (Left-Back) — Out
- David Alaba (Centre-Back) — Out
- Eduardo Camavinga (Central Midfield) — Out
- Raúl Asencio (Centre-Back) — Out
- Jude Bellingham (Attacking Midfield) — Out
- Éder Militão (Centre-Back) — Out
- Dani Ceballos (Central Midfield) — Out
No reported injuries for Alavés.
Odds Analysis
Consensus odds heavily favor Real Madrid: Spread Real Madrid -1.75, Total O/U 3, Moneyline Real Madrid -425 / Alavés +850. The -1.75 spread reflects Real's home dominance despite injuries, while the 3 total aligns with Real's 3 PPG scoring but Alavés' elite defense (0.1288 goals allowed/game).
Player Props to Watch
- Valentin Gomez Goals+Assists O/U 0.5 (Over -664)
- Thomas Lemar Goals+Assists O/U 0.5 (Over -312)
- Sofyan Amrabat Goals+Assists O/U 0.5 (Over -644)
- Sergi Altimira Goals+Assists O/U 0.5 (Over -614)
- Rodrigo Riquelme Goals+Assists O/U 0.5 (Over -333)
- Nelson Deossa Goals+Assists O/U 0.5 (Over -368)
- Natan Goals+Assists O/U 0.5 (Over -595)
- Marc Roca Goals+Assists O/U 0.5 (Over -443)
Heavy over favoritism on these props suggests market expectation for Alavés contributions, but Real's form tempers scoring outbursts.
Best Bets
- Real Madrid -1.75 (-110 implied): Hosts' 3 PPG in L10 and W1 streak overpower Alavés' dormant offense (0 PPG).
- Under 3: Alavés #3 rank in goals allowed (0.1288/game) plus Real's injury-riddled attack caps total.
- Thomas Lemar Over 0.5 Goals+Assists (-312): Best value prop with sharp over pricing amid Alavés' involvement.
Prediction
Real Madrid grinds out a 2-1 victory. Their recent 1-0 L10 edge and home advantage prevail over injuries and Alavés' defense.
Updated Tuesday, April 21, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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