Alaves at Real Madrid Odds, Picks & Prediction
Real Madrid will win against Alaves, predicted final score 3-1. Despite massive injuries sidelining Mbappé, Bellingham, Courtois, and eight others, Real Madrid's L10 form (1-0 record, 3 PPG scored, 2 allowed) dominates Alaves' 0-0 L10 with 0 PPG, justifying the -1.5 spread favoritism.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Alaves at Real Madrid
- Date
- Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
- Spread
- Real Madrid -1.5
- Total
- O/U 3.5
- Moneyline
- Real Madrid - / Alaves -
- Best Bet
- Real Madrid -1.5
- Prediction
- Real Madrid 3-1
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | -1.5 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 3.5 | Total | |
| - | - | - | Moneyline |
Real Madrid hosts Alaves in La Liga action on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, at 3:30 PM ET. With consensus odds listing Real Madrid as a -1.5 favorite and O/U at 3.5, this matchup pits a wounded but potent home side against an untested visitor.
Matchup Preview
Real Madrid enters with strong home form: 1-0 record in their last 10, averaging 3 PPG scored and 2 allowed, on a W1 streak. Alaves shows 0-0 L10 record, 0 PPG scored and 0 allowed, no streak. Real Madrid's scoring edge (3 PPG) suggests they cover the -1.5 spread despite challenges.
By The Numbers
| Stat | Real Madrid (Home) | Alaves (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| PPG | 3 | 0 |
| Opp PPG | 2 | 0 |
| Streak | W1 | 0 |
Key Injuries
Real Madrid faces a crisis:
- Thibaut Courtois (Goalkeeper) — Out
- Rodrygo (Right Winger) — Out
- Kylian Mbappé (Centre-Forward) — Out
- Ferland Mendy (Left-Back) — Out
- Álvaro Carreras (Left-Back) — Out
- David Alaba (Centre-Back) — Out
- Eduardo Camavinga (Central Midfield) — Out
- Raúl Asencio (Centre-Back) — Out
- Jude Bellingham (Attacking Midfield) — Out
- Éder Militão (Centre-Back) — Out
- Dani Ceballos (Central Midfield) — Out
Odds Analysis
Consensus: Spread Real Madrid -1.5, Total O/U 3.5, Moneyline Real Madrid - / Alaves -. The -1.5 line reflects Real Madrid's 3 PPG form over Alaves' 0 PPG, even with injuries thinning the squad.
Player Props to Watch
Key props (Goals+Assists O/U 0.5):
- Valentin Gomez Over -664
- Thomas Lemar Over -312
- Sofyan Amrabat Over -644
- Sergi Altimira Over -614
- Rodrigo Riquelme Over -333
- Nelson Deossa Over -368
- Natan Over -595
- Marc Roca Over -443
Best Bets
- Real Madrid -1.5: 3 PPG in L10 covers despite injuries.
- Under 3.5: RM allows 2 PPG; injuries cap scoring potential.
- Rodrigo Riquelme Over 0.5 G+A (-333): Strong odds reflect likely impact.
Prediction
Real Madrid 3-1. Home form (1-0 L10, 3 PPG) prevails over Alaves' 0-0 blank slate.
Updated Tuesday, April 21, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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