Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets Odds, Picks & Prediction
The New York Mets will defeat the Arizona Diamondbacks 4-2 on Tuesday. Mets hold the edge with 4.5 PPG scored vs Dbacks' 3.7, plus elite defense allowing just 3.4 PPG on a 6-4 L10 and W3 streak. Consensus -150 ML and -1.5 spread favor home team in low-scoring affair.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets
- Date
- Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 4:11 PM ET
- Spread
- New York Mets -1.5
- Total
- O/U 7.5
- Moneyline
- New York Mets -150 / Arizona Diamondbacks +136
- Best Bet
- Mets Moneyline -150
- Prediction
- Mets 4, Dbacks 2
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dbacks +1.5 | Mets -1.5 | -1.5 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 7.5 | Total | |
| +136 | -150 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
The New York Mets (6-4 L10, W3) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (6-4 L10, W3) at 4:11 PM ET. Mets average 4.5 PPG while allowing 3.4, outpacing Dbacks' 3.7 scored / 5.1 allowed. Head-to-head last 5: Mets 7-1 win, Dbacks 5-1 win, Dbacks 4-2, Dbacks 4-3, Mets 8-3 win — Dbacks 3-2 edge but Mets dominate scoring in wins.
By The Numbers
| Stat | Mets (Home) | Dbacks (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| PPG | 4.5 | 3.7 |
| Opp PPG | 3.4 | 5.1 |
| Streak | W3 | W3 |
Mets superior offense/defense sets tone.
Key Injuries
No significant injuries reported for either team.
Odds Analysis
Consensus: Mets -1.5 spread, O/U 7.5, ML Mets -150 / Dbacks +136. Mets home form and defensive ranks (#1 allowing HRs/hits/RBI to PRs) justify favoritism vs Dbacks allowing top-ranked walks/strikeouts/RBI/total bases.
Player Props to Watch
- Kyle Karros Batting_totalBases O/U 0.5 (O -160)
- Kyle Karros Batting_singles O/U 0.5 (O -150)
- Carlos Correa Batting_hits O/U 1.5 (O -188)
- Kyle Karros Batting_homeRuns O/U 0.5 (O -2500)
- Cam Smith Batting_hits O/U 1.5 (O -234)
- Kyle Karros Batting_hits O/U 0.5 (O +125) — value play
- Christian Walker Batting_doubles O/U 0.5 (O -455)
- Yainer Diaz Batting_RBI O/U 0.5 (O +128)
Best Bets
- Mets ML -150: Better 4.5 PPG / 3.4 allowed vs Dbacks 5.1 allowed.
- Under 7.5: Both teams' defensive edges (#1 ranks vs walks/HRs/hits/strikeouts/RBI/total bases).
- Kyle Karros Hits O 0.5 +125: Favorable matchup vs Dbacks #1 allowing hits to PRs.
Prediction
Mets 4, Dbacks 2. Home edge and pitching dominance prevail in pitchers' duel.
Updated Tuesday, April 7, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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