Arsenal at Crystal Palace Odds, Picks & Prediction

Matchup Preview: Arsenal vs Crystal Palace

The final Sunday of the 2026 EPL season features Arsenal traveling to Selhurst Park to face a struggling Crystal Palace side. Coming off a six-game winning streak (W6), Arsenal has transformed into a defensive juggernaut, allowing just 0.6 goals per game over their last ten matches. In stark contrast, Crystal Palace is mired in an eight-game losing streak (L8), scoring only 1.0 goals per game while conceding 1.8.

The disparity in form is evident in the team records: Arsenal sits at 7-3 in their last ten, while Palace has won just two of their last ten (2-8). With Arsenal's moneyline at -226, the market clearly favors the visitors, who are playing with confidence and structural integrity.

By The Numbers

Data analysis highlights the chasm between these two sides. Arsenal's defensive rank is particularly impressive, holding opponents to a low 0.6 PPG. Meanwhile, Crystal Palace's attack has sputtered, averaging just 1 PPG.

Stat	Crystal Palace (Home)	Arsenal (Away)
Last 10 Record	2-8	7-3
Goals Per Game	1.0	1.5
Allowed Per Game	1.8	0.6
Current Streak	L8	W6

Key Injuries Impacting the Line

C Crystal Palace's injury list is decimating their squad depth. The absence of key defensive pillars is critical:

• Adam Wharton & Cheick Doucouré (DM): Losing both defensive midfielders weakens their midfield control significantly.
• Dean Henderson (GK): Without their starting keeper, the backline is vulnerable.
• Defensive Line: With Caleb Kporha (RB), Chris Richards (CB), Rio Cardines (LB), and Daniel Muñoz (RB) all out, Palace's defense has allowed 1.8 PPG.
• Attack: Jean-Philippe Mateta (CF) and Eddie Nketiah (CF) are out, limiting their scoring threats to Ismaïla Sarr (0.5 goals/game) and Eberechi Eze (0.2 goals/game).

Odds Analysis

The spread of Crystal Palace +1.5 suggests the oddsmakers expect Arsenal to win by two goals or more. The total of O/U 2.5 leans toward a lower-scoring game, likely due to Arsenal's tight defense (0.6 allowed) and Palace's offensive struggles. However, Arsenal's 1.5 PPG suggests they should comfortably cover the spread.

Best Bets

• 1. Arsenal Moneyline (-226): The safest play. Arsenal's W6 streak and superior form (7-3 L10) against a Palace side on an L8 streak make this a high-value favorite.
• 2. Arsenal -1.5 Spread: Given Palace's injuries in midfield and defense, Arsenal is well-positioned to win by a margin of two or more goals.
• 3. Under 2.5 Goals: With Arsenal allowing only 0.6 PPG and Palace scoring 1.0 PPG, a low-scoring affair is likely, especially with Palace's key forwards out.

Player Props to Watch

• Kai Havertz (Arsenal): Averaging 0.4 goals/game with a high of 1, Havertz is a consistent threat against a leaky Palace defense.
• Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal): With a high of 2 goals in a game, Gyökeres provides explosive upside if Arsenal opens a lead early.
• Ismaïla Sarr (Palace): Leading Palace with 0.5 goals/game, Sarr is the primary offensive weapon in a depleted attack.

Prediction

Arsenal's defensive solidity (0.6 allowed PPG) combined with Crystal Palace's offensive woes (1.0 PPG) and extensive injuries points to a clean sheet or narrow margin for the Gunners. We predict Arsenal will win 2-0, covering the -1.5 spread.

Updated Sunday, May 24, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →