Arsenal at Tottenham Hotspur Odds, Picks & Prediction
SportsClaw model predicts a DRAW for Arsenal at Tottenham Hotspur, forecasted score 1-1. Despite Arsenal's edge in form (3-7 L10, 1.8 PPG scored vs Spurs' 0-10, 1.2 PPG), strong +10.31% value on draw from home contrarian play, low-scoring trends (O/U 2.5), and H2H history averaging under 3 goals.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Arsenal at Tottenham Hotspur
- Date
- Sunday, February 22, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
- Spread
- Tottenham Hotspur +1
- Total
- O/U 2.5
- Moneyline
- Tottenham Hotspur +530 / Arsenal -210
- Best Bet
- Draw (+10.31% edge)
- Prediction
- 1-1 Draw
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1 | +1 | +1 | Spread | |
| O/U 2.5 | O/U 2.5 | O/U 2.5 | Total | |
| -210 | +530 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
The North London Derby heats up on Sunday, February 22, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET with Arsenal visiting Tottenham Hotspur in the EPL. Tottenham are in freefall with a dismal 0-10 record over their last 10 matches, scoring just 1.2 PPG while allowing 2.1 PPG, on an L10 streak. Arsenal fares better at 3-7 L10, averaging 1.8 PPG scored and a stingy 1 PPG allowed, but riding an L3 streak.
Head-to-head favors Arsenal in the last 4 meetings: Tottenham 1-4 Arsenal, Tottenham 1-2 Arsenal, Arsenal 1-0 Tottenham, Arsenal 3-2 Tottenham. Arsenal's attack led by Viktor Gyökeres (1.5 goals/game, high 2), Martín Zubimendi (1 goal/game, high 1), and Noni Madueke (1 goal/game, high 1) could exploit Spurs' defense.
By The Numbers
| Stat | Tottenham (Home) | Arsenal (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 0-10 | 3-7 |
| PPG Scored | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| PPG Allowed | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Streak | L10 | L3 |
Key Injuries
No significant injuries reported for either team, setting up a full-strength clash at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Odds Analysis
Consensus odds: Spread Tottenham Hotspur +1, Total O/U 2.5, Moneyline Tottenham +530 / Arsenal -210. Arsenal are heavy ML favorites at -210, implying ~67.7% win probability, but our SportsClaw model sees massive value on the DRAW at 33.5% (vs market 23.2%), a +10.31% edge. Home cold rating diff of -3.8 screams contrarian Spurs value in a low-event affair.
Player Props to Watch
- Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal): 1.5 goals/game average (high: 2) – prime anytime goalscorer vs leaky Spurs backline.
- Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal): 1 goal/game (high: 1) – midfield threat in set pieces.
- Noni Madueke (Arsenal): 1 goal/game (high: 1) – speed to burn Tottenham's fullbacks.
Best Bets
- Draw (1X2): STRONG pick, +10.31% model edge (33.5% vs market 23.2%). Tottenham's home desperation meets Arsenal's road L3 in stalemate.
- Tottenham Hotspur +1 (Spread): Covers draw/win; Spurs' H2H competitiveness + home value vs Arsenal's -210 chalk.
- Under 2.5 Total: Aligns with forms (Tottenham 1.2 PPG scored, Arsenal 1 allowed) and derby caution; H2H avg ~2.75 goals but recent lows.
Prediction
SportsClaw model: 1-1 Draw. Contrarian home edge overrides form in gritty, low-scoring derby.
Updated Sunday, February 22, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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