Bayer Leverkusen at Borussia Dortmund Odds, Picks & Prediction
Borussia Dortmund defeats Bayer Leverkusen 2-1. Dortmund's scorching 5-0-0 L10 form, 2.4 PPG scored, and stingy 0.8 goals allowed per game overwhelm Leverkusen's shaky 2-4 L10 record despite their 2.5 PPG offense. Home edge and odds (-112 ML, -0.5 spread) seal the victory.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Bayer Leverkusen at Borussia Dortmund
- Date
- Saturday, April 11, 2026, 9:30 AM ET
- Spread
- Borussia Dortmund -0.5
- Total
- O/U 3
- Moneyline
- Borussia Dortmund -112 / Bayer Leverkusen +270
- Best Bet
- Dortmund -0.5
- Prediction
- Dortmund 2-1
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +270 | -112 | -0.5 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 3 | Total | |
| +270 | -112 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
Borussia Dortmund hosts Bayer Leverkusen in a Bundesliga clash at Signal Iduna Park. Dortmund rides a hot 5-0 record over their last 10, averaging 2.4 goals scored per game while allowing just 0.8 goals against on a W5 streak. Ramy Bensebaini leads with 1 goal per game (high of 2), backed by Karim Adeyemi's 0.7 goals/game. Leverkusen sits at 2-4 L10, scoring 2.5 PPG but leaking 1.8 goals allowed on a W1 streak. Alejandro Grimaldo and Patrik Schick each notch 1 goal/game (highs of 2).
By The Numbers
| Stat | Dortmund (Home) | Leverkusen (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 5-0 | 2-4 |
| PPG | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| Opp PPG | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Streak | W5 | W1 |
Dortmund's defense ranks elite, allowing tackles at #3 (2.0408/game to all).
Key Injuries
- Borussia Dortmund: Carney Chukwuemeka (Central Midfield) — Out
- Niklas Süle (Centre-Back) — Out
- Felix Nmecha (Central Midfield) — Out
- Filippo Mane (Centre-Back) — Out
- Emre Can (Centre-Back) — Out
Dortmund's backline and midfield are decimated, testing their depth.
Odds Analysis
Consensus odds favor Dortmund at -0.5 spread, O/U 3 total, and -112 moneyline vs Leverkusen's +270. Dortmund's form justifies the slight edge despite injuries.
Player Props to Watch
- Michael Olise Shots_assisted O/U 2.5 (Over +100)
- Joshua Kimmich Shots_assisted O/U 2 (Over +100)
- Joshua Kimmich Passes_attempted O/U 107.5 (Over +100)
- Nikola Vasilj Goalie_saves O/U 4.5 (Over +100)
- Manuel Neuer Goalie_saves O/U 2 (Over +100)
Best Bets
- Borussia Dortmund -0.5 (-112): 5-0 L10 and 0.8 goals allowed dominate Leverkusen's 1.8 allowed.
- Under 3 (-110 implied): Dortmund's defense caps games low despite offenses.
- Joshua Kimmich Passes_attempted Over 107.5 (+100): High-volume midfielder thrives in big matches.
Prediction
Dortmund grinds out a 2-1 victory, leveraging home form against injury-hit squad. Bensebaini and Adeyemi score; Schick replies for Leverkusen.
Updated Saturday, April 11, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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