Bayern Munich at Borussia Dortmund Odds, Picks & Prediction
Bayern Munich will win against Borussia Dortmund, 3-1. Despite Dortmund's stellar 9-1 record over their last 10 matches and 2.9 PPG, Bayern's W3 streak, 2.7 PPG offense led by Luis Díaz (2 goals/game) and Harry Kane (1.8 goals/game), plus favoritism at -155 ML, secures the victory in this Bundesliga Klassiker.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Bayern Munich at Borussia Dortmund
- Date
- Saturday, February 28, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
- Spread
- Borussia Dortmund +0.75
- Total
- O/U 3.5
- Moneyline
- Borussia Dortmund +350 / Bayern Munich -155
- Best Bet
- Bayern Munich ML -155
- Prediction
- Bayern Munich 3-1
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | +0.75 | +0.75 | Spread | |
| O/U 3.5 | O/U 3.5 | O/U 3.5 | Total | |
| -155 | +350 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
Borussia Dortmund hosts Bayern Munich in a blockbuster Bundesliga clash at Signal Iduna Park. The home side enters with a scorching 9-1 record over their last 10 games, averaging 2.9 goals per game while allowing just 1. They're coming off an L1 but boast Serhou Guirassy's 1.7 goals/game (high of 2). Bayern counters with a 7-3 L10 mark, 2.7 PPG scored and 1.5 allowed, riding a W3 streak. Luis Díaz erupts at 2 goals/game (high: 3), while Harry Kane chips in 1.8 goals/game (high: 2).
By The Numbers
| Stat | Borussia Dortmund (Home) | Bayern Munich (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 9-1 | 7-3 |
| PPG | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| Opp PPG | 1 | 1.5 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
Dortmund ranks #3 in allowing tackles at 2.122/game to all positions, giving their attack breathing room.
Key Injuries
No significant injuries reported for either team, setting up a full-strength showdown.
Odds Analysis
Consensus odds list Dortmund as +0.75 home dogs at +350 ML, with Bayern -155 favorites. Total sits at O/U 3.5, fitting the high-scoring trends: Dortmund 2.9 PPG, Bayern 2.7 PPG.
Player Props to Watch
- Serhou Guirassy: 1.7 goals/game – primed for home impact.
- Luis Díaz: 2 goals/game (high: 3) – Bayern's x-factor.
- Harry Kane: 1.8 goals/game – consistent threat.
Best Bets
- Bayern Munich ML (-155): Superior streak and attack overpower Dortmund's recent dip.
- Over 3.5 (-110): Combined 5.6 PPG average screams goals.
- Harry Kane Over 1.5 Goals: At 1.8 goals/game, value in his form.
Prediction
Bayern Munich takes it 3-1, leveraging Díaz and Kane against Dortmund's L1 stumble.
Updated Saturday, February 28, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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