Bayern Munich at FC St. Pauli Odds, Picks & Prediction
Bayern Munich wins 2-0 against FC St. Pauli. Despite devastating injuries (Kane, Neuer, Musiala out), Bayern's elite form (3-1 L10, 2.8 PPG, W3 streak) crushes St. Pauli's slump (0-2 L10, 0.5 PPG, L2). Depth and Gnabry's 0.7 goals/game secure a low-scoring victory.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Bayern Munich at FC St. Pauli
- Date
- Saturday, April 11, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
- Spread
- FC St. Pauli +1.5
- Total
- O/U 3.25
- Moneyline
- FC St. Pauli +750 / Bayern Munich -425
- Best Bet
- Under 3.25
- Prediction
- Bayern 2-0
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -425 | +750 | +1.5 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 3.25 | Total | |
| -425 | +750 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
FC St. Pauli heads into this Bundesliga clash on a rough patch, posting a 0-2 record in their last 10 with just 0.5 goals per game while allowing 2 per match on a L2 streak. Bayern Munich, however, is rolling with a 3-1 L10 mark, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.3 allowed on a W3 streak. Key Bayern threats include Serge Gnabry (0.7 goals/game, high 2), Tom Bischof (0.7 goals/game, high 2), Luis Díaz (0.5 goals/game, high 1), and Michael Olise (0.3 goals/game, high 1), even without Harry Kane.
By The Numbers
| Stat | FC St. Pauli (Home) | Bayern Munich (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| PPG | 0.5 | 2.8 |
| Opp PPG | 2 | 1.3 |
| Streak | L2 | W3 |
St. Pauli ranks #1 in allowing assists (0.1961/game to all positions) and #4 in allowing fouls (1.4898/game).
Key Injuries
Bayern Munich: Jonas Urbig (GK) Out, Hiroki Ito (CB) Out, Harry Kane (CF) Out, Manuel Neuer (GK) Out, Jamal Musiala (AM) Out, Aleksandar Pavlovic (DM) Out, Alphonso Davies (LB) Out, Leon Klanac (GK) Out, Bara Sapoko Ndiaye (CM) Out, Lennart Karl (AM) Out, Sven Ulreich (GK) Out.
FC St. Pauli: Andréas Hountondji (CF) Out, Mathias Rasmussen (CM) Out, Tomoya Ando (CB) Out, David Nemeth (CB) Out.
Odds Analysis
Consensus odds heavily favor Bayern: Moneyline FC St. Pauli +750 / Bayern -425, Spread FC St. Pauli +1.5, Total O/U 3.25. Bayern's form justifies the favoritism despite injuries.
Player Props to Watch
- Michael Olise Shots_assisted O/U 2.5 (Over +100)
- Joshua Kimmich Shots_assisted O/U 2 (Over +100)
- Luis Diaz Passes_attempted O/U 46.5 (Over +100)
- Joshua Kimmich Passes_attempted O/U 107.5 (Over +100)
- Harry Kane Passes_attempted O/U 27.5 (Over +100) - Note: Kane OUT
- Nikola Vasilj Goalie_saves O/U 4.5 (Over +100)
- Manuel Neuer Goalie_saves O/U 2 (Over +100) - Note: Neuer OUT
- Michael Olise Dribbles_attempted O/U 4.5 (Over +100)
Best Bets
- Under 3.25 (-110): St. Pauli's 0.5 PPG and Bayern's backup GK with injuries point to low scoring.
- Nikola Vasilj Goalie_saves Over 4.5 (+100): Bayern's attack (2.8 PPG) pressures St. Pauli's net.
- Bayern Munich ML -425: Form edge (3-1 L10) overcomes injuries.
Prediction
Bayern grinds out a 2-0 win. Injuries thin the squad, but Gnabry and Olise exploit St. Pauli's weaknesses.
Updated Saturday, April 11, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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