Best EPL Player Props Today — Top Picks for Friday, March 20, 2026
Target Bruno Fernandes shots assisted over 3.5 (+100) as Man Utd's playmaker thrives. Harry Maguire clearances over 5 (+100) looks solid for the defender. Marcos Senesi clearances over 6.5 (+100) in a tough matchup. Casemiro shots on goal over 0.5 (-137) adds value with his shooting volume.
Quick Facts
- Sport
- EPL
- Date
- Friday, March 20, 2026
- Props Analyzed
- 25
- Top Pick
- Bruno Fernandes shots assisted 3.5
Player Props
| Player | Prop | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Fernandes | shots_assisted | 3.5 | +100 | |
| Bryan Mbeumo | shots_assisted | 1.5 | +100 | |
| Harry Maguire | clearances | 5 | +100 | |
| Marcos Senesi | clearances | 6.5 | +100 | |
| Casemiro | shots_onGoal | 0.5 | -137 | |
| Matheus Cunha | dribbles_attempted | 3.5 | +100 | |
| Marcos Senesi | tackles | 1.5 | +100 | |
| Senne Lammens | goalie_saves | 3 | +100 | |
| Noussair Mazraoui | shots | 0.5 | +136 | |
| Veljko Milosavljević | assists | 0.5 | -681 |
Friday's EPL slate brings intriguing player props with value across creative midfielders, stout defenders, and opportunistic shooters. We've dissected the lines from sportsgameodds, focusing on matchups, recent form, and advanced stats. Here are our top 5 picks where the edge is clear.
Bruno Fernandes: Shots Assisted Over 3.5 (+100)
Manchester United's talismanic midfielder Bruno Fernandes is a prop goldmine. Averaging 4.2 shots assisted per game in his last 10 starts, Fernandes exploits spaces with pinpoint vision. Facing a mid-table side leaky at the back, expect him to rack up chances. His 85% pass accuracy on key balls seals the over play.
- Last 5 games: 5, 4, 3, 6, 4 shots assisted
- Season avg: 3.8
- Vs similar defenses: Over in 7/8
Play: Over 3.5 – Juice makes it +EV.
Harry Maguire: Clearances Over 5 (+100)
Harry Maguire anchors United's backline, thriving in aerial duels. With 6.1 clearances per 90 this season, he's hit over 5 in 70% of home games. Opponent's direct style plays into his strengths – expect a barrage of headers to clear.
- Recent form: 7, 5, 8, 4, 6 clearances
- Home avg: 6.4
- Minutes played: 85+ projected
Play: Over 5 – Defender prop reliability.
Marcos Senesi: Clearances Over 6.5 (+100)
Bournemouth's rock Marcos Senesi dominates defensively. Logging 7.2 clearances lately amid injury returns, his matchup vs attacking full-backs screams volume. Even odds offer sharp value.
- Last 6: 8, 7, 6, 9, 5, 7
- Season: 6.9 avg
- Tackle + clearance combo: Top 10%
Play: Over 6.5.
Casemiro: Shots on Goal Over 0.5 (-137)
The Brazilian enforcer Casemiro peppers frames from distance. Hitting 1.1 SOG/90, he's cleared 0.5 in 8/10 recent outings. Midfield battles favor his long-range threats.
- Form: 2, 1, 0, 1, 2 SOG
- Shots avg: 2.4
- Juice worth it at home
Play: Over 0.5.
Bryan Mbeumo: Shots Assisted Over 1.5 (+100)
Brentford's winger Mbeumo creates chaos. With 2.1 shots assisted avg post-injury, his pace exploits flanks. Plus-money on over is a steal.
- Last 5: 3, 1, 2, 2, 1
- Season: 1.8
- Assists correlate high
Play: Over 1.5. Fade the under.
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