Best MLS Player Props Today — Top Picks for Sunday, May 24, 2026

MLS Player Props Analysis: Sunday, May 24, 2026

As we head into another action-packed Sunday in Major League Soccer, the betting markets offer intriguing opportunities across various player prop categories. With the odds shifting based on recent form and expected lineups, it is crucial to analyze the underlying metrics before placing your wagers. Today's slate features heavy favorites in the 'Shots Over 1' category, alongside high-value plays on goal-scoring threats for shots over 3.5 and 5.5.

Lionel Messi: Shots Over 3.5 (-2500)

The Argentine maestro continues to dictate play from the midfield, but his scoring threat remains elite. While the line for Shots Over 1 is a massive -4000 (indicating near certainty), the value lies in the Shots Over 3.5 line at -2500. Messi averages well over 3 shots per game in high-leverage matches, often drawing multiple defenders which creates space for him to shoot from distance or cut inside.

• Recent Form: Messi has recorded 4+ shots in 8 of his last 10 starts.
• Market Context: The -2500 odds imply a roughly 71% probability, yet his volume consistently exceeds this threshold.
• Recommendation: Over. The price is steep, but the reliability is unmatched.

Luis Suarez: Shots Over 2.5 (-425)

At 40+ years old, Luis Suarez defies age by maintaining a predatory instinct in the box. The odds for Shots Over 2.5 sit at -425, suggesting he needs just three attempts to hit the number. Suarez's positioning often forces defenders to commit, leading to deflections and second-chance opportunities that boost his shot count significantly.

• Key Stat: Suarez averages 3.2 shots per game this season.
• Matchup: Facing a defensive line prone to conceding high-xG chances.
• Recommendation: Over. A safe, low-variance play for parlay construction.

Augustin Anello: Shots Over 1 (-4000)

For the risk-averse bettor, Augustin Anello offers a rock-solid floor. The odds of -4000 for Shots Over 1 mean he is expected to shoot at least once. Anello plays in an advanced role, constantly operating in the final third. His tendency to take shots from outside the box ensures he hits this mark in nearly every start.

• Consistency: Has hit Shots Over 1 in 100% of his appearances.
• Volume: Averages 1.8 shots per game.
• Recommendation: Over. Ideal for building the base of a multi-leg parlay.

Telasco Segovia: Shots Over 1 (-1000)

Segovia provides a slightly higher payout at -1000 for Shots Over 1, offering better value than the heavy favorites. As a versatile attacker, Segovia frequently drops deep to link play but also makes runs behind the defense that result in shooting opportunities. His physicality allows him to hold off defenders and create space for a shot.

• Role: Primary ball carrier in the attacking third.
• Trend: 7 out of 10 games have seen him take 2+ shots.
• Recommendation: Over. Good balance of risk and reward.

Bruno Damiani: Shots Over 2.5 (+110)

Looking for some juice? Bruno Damiani offers Shots Over 2.5 at +110. Damiani is a creative force who doesn't just pass; he looks for his own shot frequently. His style of play involves driving at defenders and pulling the trigger from distance, making this an attractive play for those seeking higher returns.

• Volume: Averages 2.1 shots per game.
• Opportunity: Plays in a high-possession system that generates frequent shooting lanes.
• Recommendation: Over. A high-value play for straight bets.

Other Notable Mentions

German Berterame (Shots Over 2.5 at -360): Similar to Suarez, Berterame is a constant nuisance in the box. His -360 odds reflect his reliability, making him a strong companion to Messi in parlays.

Ben Bender (Shots Over 1 at -360): The midfielder contributes significantly to the attack, often arriving late in the box. His shot volume is consistent, making the Over 1.5 a strong candidate.