Best NBA Player Props Today — Top Picks for Sunday, May 24, 2026

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Over 7.5 (-101 to +107)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has established himself not just as a scoring machine, but as a primary playmaker for the Oklahoma City Thunder. The market is split on his assist total, with lines hovering tightly around 7.5. However, the current odds present a compelling opportunity on the Over. In recent playoff series, SGA has consistently drawn double-teams, forcing him to distribute the ball more effectively than in regular-season games.

• SGA averages nearly 8.0 assists per game in high-leverage moments.
• Opposing defenses are rotating aggressively, creating open lanes for kick-out threes.
• The line sits near evens (-101 to +107), indicating bookmaker uncertainty.

With the Thunder's offensive system relying heavily on his penetration, we project him to exceed this threshold. The value is clear when comparing the implied probability against his recent playmaking output.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Over 29.5 (-106 to -120)

Scoring remains SGA's forte. The line for points is set at 29.5, which is slightly lower than his season average. The odds are heavily weighted toward the Over, ranging from -106 to -120, suggesting sharp money is flowing in on his scoring ability. Against defenses that struggle to contain mid-range jumpers and free-throw line attacks, SGA is poised to hit double digits in free throws.

• He has scored 30+ points in 60% of his playoff games.
• Free throw attempts are trending upward, providing a safety net for the prop.
• The -115 average odds offer fair value for a player with his usage rate.

We recommend the Over 29.5 points. The matchup favors his ability to create his own shot, and the Thunder's pace of play should ensure he gets enough touches to clear this line.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Blocks + Steals Over 2.5 (+121 to -162)

While primarily known for scoring, SGA is a defensive menace. The combined blocks and steals line is set at 2.5. The odds vary significantly, with some books offering +121 on the Over, which is substantial value. SGA's length and anticipation allow him to accumulate defensive stats even on nights when his scoring is efficient.

• He averages 1.2 steals per game.
• His 0.8 blocks per game provide a solid baseline.
• Combined, these stats suggest the Over 2.5 is a high-probability play.

Given the variance in defensive stats, the +121 odds on the Over make this a strong speculative play. We expect him to contribute at least one steal and one block, or two steals, to cover this line.