Best SERIE_A Player Props Today — Top Picks for Friday, May 22, 2026

Friday Serie A Player Props Analysis

Friday night in Serie A offers a unique slate of player prop opportunities. With the season nearing its climax, teams are pushing for final standings positions, leading to more open play and increased individual statistical outputs. Our analysis focuses on the 1.5 points line, a threshold that requires specific offensive contributions such as goals, assists, or sometimes shots on target depending on the bookmaker's definition. We have identified several players who are positioned to exceed this mark.

Mitchel Bakker Over 1.5 Points

Mitchel Bakker has been a consistent threat from left-back, providing both width and goal involvement. His prop line sits at 1.5 points. Bakker's recent form suggests he is comfortable in the final third, often cutting inside to deliver crosses or take set pieces. Against a defense that struggles to clear their lines from the left flank, Bakker is well-positioned to notch an assist or score a goal.

• Recent Assists: Bakker has contributed to 3 goals in his last 5 appearances.
• Key Passes: Averaging 1.8 key passes per game over the last month.
• Defensive Vulnerability: The opposing left-back has allowed 5 shots on target from crosses this season.

The value here lies in the combination of his set-piece duties and his attacking runs. Even if he doesn't score, an assist pushes him over the line easily. This is a strong OVER play.

Relja Obric Over 1.5 Points

Relja Obric brings physicality and a keen eye for goal to the forward line. His 1.5 points line is achievable through a single goal and an assist, or two goals. Obric has shown improved link-up play with his midfielders, allowing him to drop deep and collect the ball before turning and shooting. His recent performances indicate a player in form, looking to secure his spot in the starting XI.

• Shots on Target: Obric has averaged 2.1 shots on target per game.
• Conversion Rate: He has converted 15% of his chances in the last 10 games.
• Hold-up Play: Successfully retains possession in 60% of duels, creating chances for teammates.

Given the defensive setup of his opponents, Obric is likely to see space in the box. An over on points is the logical play here, as his role involves both finishing and creating.

Marten De Roon Over 1.5 Points

While a midfielder, Marten De Roon contributes significantly to the attack through long-range efforts and late runs into the box. His 1.5 points line often relies on shots on target or key passes. De Roon's role in the team's transitional play means he frequently arrives in advanced positions. If the team is chasing a game, his involvement increases, making the over a viable option.

• Long Shots: De Roon takes approximately 1.5 shots from outside the box per game.
• Passing Accuracy: His forward passing accuracy is 78%, leading to several key chances.
• Goals from Midfield: He has scored 2 goals from distance this season.

The under might be riskier if the match is a low-scoring affair, but De Roon's tendency to shoot from distance gives him a good chance to hit the 1.5 points mark via shots on target alone. We lean towards the OVER based on his volume of effort.

Other Notable Mentions

Beyond our top picks, several other players offer value on the 1.5 points line:

• Sead Kolasinac: Similar to Bakker, his attacking output from right-back makes him a solid over candidate.
• Giorgio Scalvini: As a ball-playing defender, his assists and shots on target from set pieces provide a safety net for the over.
• Isak Hien: His physical presence often results in fouls won and shots on target, keeping him in contention for the over.

Always check the specific definition of 'points' for your sportsbook, as some may count shots on target while others only count goals and assists. However, for most standard definitions, these players' profiles suggest they are well-placed to exceed 1.5 points on this Friday's slate.