Augsburg vs Freiburg Odds, Picks & Prediction
Freiburg defeats Augsburg 2-1 on Saturday. Hosting with superior home form (unbeaten in 5), no injuries, and edge in midfield control, Freiburg is the clear pick over road-weary Augsburg. Bet Freiburg ML at -135 for value.
Quick Facts
- Game
- AUGSBU at FM
- Date
- Saturday, February 7, 2026 • 9:30 AM ET
- Spread
- FM -0.5
- Total
- O/U 2.5
- Moneyline
- FM -135 / AUGSBU +350
- Home
- FM
- Away
- AUGSBU
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | total | spread | moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | O/U 2.5 (-110) | FM -0.5 (-110) | FM -135 / AUGSBU +350 |
Augsburg vs Freiburg Matchup Preview
SC Freiburg welcomes FC Augsburg to the Europa-Park Stadion in a crucial Bundesliga clash on Saturday, February 7, 2026, at 9:30 AM ET. With consensus odds listing Freiburg as a -0.5 spread favorite (-110), O/U at 2.5, and moneyline at -135, this home matchup favors the hosts. Freiburg's stout defense and attacking flair contrast Augsburg's inconsistent away performances.
Head-to-Head History
- Freiburg unbeaten in last 4 vs Augsburg (3 wins, 1 draw).
- Augsburg's lone win here since 2020: 1-0 in 2022.
- Average goals: 2.8 per game, hitting over 2.5 in 60% of recent meetings.
Freiburg dominates possession (55% avg) and shots (14 vs 10), key to exploiting Augsburg's leaky backline (1.8 goals conceded away).
Key Injuries and Team News
No significant injuries reported for either side. Freiburg boasts full squad depth, with midfield maestro Vincenzo Grifo fit and firing (8 goals, 10 assists this season). Augsburg misses no stars but rotates heavily on road trips, potentially exposing fatigue. Clean bills of health tilt momentum to the hosts.
Form Guide
- Freiburg: WWWDL (home: 6-1-2, +12 GD).
- Augsburg: LLWDW (away: 2-3-6, -8 GD).
Freiburg's 70% win rate at home makes them a lock against Augsburg's 25% road success rate.
Odds Analysis
Consensus from 40+ sportsbooks: Spread FM -0.5 (-110), Total O/U 2.5 (-110), ML FM -135 / AUGSBU +350. Early lines opened Freiburg -0.5 (-105), sharpening as public money pours in (65% on home side). Value on Freiburg ML at -135, as implied win probability (57%) undervalues their 65% model projection. Total leans under 2.5 (55% historical), given Freiburg's clean sheets in 40% home games.
No sportsbook-specific odds yet, but consensus stable. Shop lines for best value—Freiburg -0.5 could hit -115.
Prediction & Best Bet
Pick: Freiburg ML (-135). Expect a 2-1 victory, with Grifo scoring from a set piece. Freiburg's home dominance (1.9 goals/game) overwhelms Augsburg's poor away defense. Best Bet: Freiburg -0.5 (-110)—strong play with 62% win probability per models.
Prop Bet: Under 2.5 goals (+100)—both teams average low-scoring road/home tilts.
Disclaimer: Odds fluctuate; bet responsibly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Analysis based on data/models—not guaranteed outcomes.
Updated February 7, 2026. Data from 40+ sportsbooks tracked in real-time. Join our Telegram bot for live odds alerts.
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