Chelsea at Arsenal Odds, Picks & Prediction
Arsenal will win Chelsea at Arsenal, predicted score Arsenal 2-1. Chelsea boasts a superior L10 record (7-3, 2.4 PPG) but enters on a L3 streak, while Arsenal's home H2H dominance (1-0, 5-0 wins) and consensus odds (Arsenal -180 ML, -0.5 spread) tip the scales despite their 4-6 L10.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Chelsea at Arsenal
- Date
- Sunday, March 1, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
- Spread
- Arsenal -0.5
- Total
- O/U 2.5
- Moneyline
- Arsenal -180 / Chelsea +440
- Best Bet
- Arsenal -0.5
- Prediction
- Arsenal 2-1
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +440 | -180 | -0.5 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 2.5 | Total | |
| +440 | -180 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
Arsenal hosts Chelsea in a blockbuster EPL clash at the Emirates on Sunday, March 1, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. The Gunners enter with a 4-6 record over their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals per game while allowing just 1.1. They're on a L1 streak but boast key scorers like Viktor Gyökeres (1.7 goals/game, high of 2), Martín Zubimendi (1 goal/game), and Noni Madueke (1 goal/game). Chelsea, riding a hotter 7-3 L10 (2.4 PPG, 1.1 allowed), faces trouble with a L3 streak. Cole Palmer (2 goals/game, high 3) and João Pedro (1 goal/game) lead the Blues.
Head-to-head in the last 4 meetings: Arsenal 1-1 at Chelsea, Chelsea 0-1 at Arsenal, Arsenal 1-1 at Chelsea, Chelsea 0-5 at Arsenal. Arsenal unbeaten at home vs Chelsea recently, with a dominant 5-0 thrashing last time.
By The Numbers
| Stat | Arsenal (Home) | Chelsea (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Scoring PPG | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Allowed PPG | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Current Streak | L1 | L3 |
Chelsea ranks #5 in allowing shots on target (1.3469/game to all opponents), a defensive edge.
Key Injuries
No significant injuries reported for either Arsenal or Chelsea, setting up a full-strength showdown.
Odds Analysis
Consensus odds heavily favor Arsenal: -0.5 spread, O/U 2.5 total, moneyline Arsenal -180 / Chelsea +440. The line reflects Arsenal's home advantage despite Chelsea's better recent form.
Player Props to Watch
- Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal): 1.7 goals/game – anytime goalscorer prop primed.
- Cole Palmer (Chelsea): 2 goals/game (high 3) – over goals expected despite streak.
- Noni Madueke (Arsenal): 1 goal/game – threat on the wing.
Best Bets
- Arsenal -0.5 (-spread): Home H2H wins (1-0, 5-0) and -180 ML back the Gunners covering.
- Under 2.5: Both teams allow 1.1 PPG, low shots on target for Chelsea defense.
- Cole Palmer over 1.5 goals: Averaging 2/game, high of 3 in L10.
Prediction
Arsenal edges Chelsea 2-1. Chelsea's 7-3 L10 and Palmer's form keep it close, but Arsenal's home record vs Blues and odds favoritism prevail. Expect Gyökeres to score.
Updated Sunday, March 1, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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