Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves Odds, Picks & Prediction
The Minnesota Timberwolves will defeat the Dallas Mavericks 124-109. Minnesota enters with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games and a W2 streak, scoring 118.7 PPG while allowing 117. Dallas struggles at 1-9 L10 with a L7 streak, scoring just 111.6 PPG and allowing 122.7, making the -13 spread a lock.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves
- Date
- Saturday, February 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
- Spread
- Minnesota Timberwolves -13
- Total
- O/U 238.5
- Moneyline
- Minnesota Timberwolves -769 / Dallas Mavericks +500
- Best Bet
- Timberwolves -13
- Prediction
- MIN 124, DAL 109
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +13 | -13 | -13 | Spread | |
| O/U 238.5 | O/U 238.5 | O/U 238.5 | Total | |
| +500 | -769 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Dallas Mavericks in a lopsided affair based on recent form. Minnesota sits at 5-5 over their last 10 games, averaging 118.7 points per game while allowing 117, and riding a W2 streak into this matchup. Contrast that with Dallas, who are mired in a 1-9 L10 slump with a brutal L7 streak, scoring a paltry 111.6 PPG and surrendering 122.7 PPG defensively. Head-to-head in the last 5 meetings, Dallas holds a slight 3-2 edge: MIN 99-109 DAL, MIN 115-114 DAL, DAL 124-103 MIN, MIN 105-100 DAL, MIN 107-116 DAL. However, current trends heavily favor the home side.
By The Numbers
| Stat | Minnesota (Home) | Dallas (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 5-5 | 1-9 |
| PPG | 118.7 | 111.6 |
| Opp PPG | 117 | 122.7 |
| Streak | W2 | L7 |
Minnesota's balanced attack gives them a clear edge over Dallas' defensive woes.
Key Injuries
No significant injuries reported for either team, setting up a full-strength battle where form dictates the outcome.
Odds Analysis
Consensus odds reflect Minnesota's dominance: Spread Minnesota -13, Total O/U 238.5, Moneyline MIN -769 / DAL +500. The heavy ML pricing underscores oddsmakers' confidence, with Dallas at +500 implying just a 16.7% win probability amid their skid.
Player Props to Watch
With no injuries, focus on Minnesota's scoring leaders to exploit Dallas' leaky 122.7 PPG defense. Dallas' offense at 111.6 PPG may struggle against Minnesota's 117 allowed.
Best Bets
- Minnesota Timberwolves -13: Dallas' 1-9 L10 and L7 streak scream blowout potential against a 5-5 MIN on W2.
- Under 238.5: Combined averages (118.7 + 111.6 = 230.3) fall below the total, especially with Dallas' low output.
- Minnesota ML -769: Safe play given the form gap and H2H context.
Prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves roll 124-109, covering the -13 spread comfortably. Updated Saturday, February 21, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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