Denver Broncos at Oklahoma City Thunder Odds, Picks & Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder will win against Denver Broncos 118-110. OKC's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (29.8 PPG, high 36) anchors the offense at home despite Jalen Williams out, while Denver misses Nikola Jokic (28.5 PPG out) and Christian Braun, failing to cover +7.5.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Denver Broncos at Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date
- Monday, March 9, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
- Spread
- Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5
- Total
- O/U 230.5
- Moneyline
- Oklahoma City Thunder -275 / Denver Broncos +226
- Best Bet
- Thunder -7.5
- Prediction
- OKC 118-110
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +7.5 | -7.5 | Thunder -7.5 | Spread | |
| U 230.5 | O 230.5 | O/U 230.5 | Total | |
| +226 | -275 | - | Moneyline |
The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Denver Broncos in a high-stakes NBA clash on Monday, March 9, 2026, at 11:30 PM ET. With consensus odds favoring OKC -7.5, total 230.5, and ML -275/+226, both teams enter at 0-0 L10 records, 0 PPG scored/allowed, and no streaks. Injuries loom large, but OKC's home edge shines.
Matchup Preview
OKC boasts Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at 29.8 PPG (high 36), Jalen Williams 25.5 PPG (high 28, but out), Chet Holmgren 15.5 PPG (high 28), Isaiah Joe 14.9 PPG (high 22), and Josh Giddey 13.6 PPG (high 27). Denver counters with Nikola Jokic 28.5 PPG (high 38, out), Jamal Murray 23.4 PPG (high 45), Christian Braun 13.4 PPG (high 23, out), Tim Hardaway Jr. 12.4 PPG (high 21), Julian Strawther 11.2 PPG (high 20). Denver's defense ranks #1 allowing assists (2.21/game to Fs), #4 points (10.6/game to Fs), #4 rebounds (4.25/game to Fs).
By The Numbers
| Stat | OKC (Home) | DEN (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PPG | 0 | 0 |
| Opp PPG | 0 | 0 |
| Streak | 0 | 0 |
| Shai PPG | 29.8 | - |
| Jokic PPG | - | 28.5 (out) |
Key Injuries
- OKC: Jalen Williams (G) — Out
- OKC: Jalen Williams (SF) — Out
- OKC: Nikola Topic (G) — Out
- OKC: Thomas Sorber (C) — Out
- OKC: Branden Carlson (C) — Out
- OKC: Isaiah Hartenstein (C) — Out
- OKC: Ajay Mitchell (G) — Out
- DEN: Aaron Gordon (F) — Out
- DEN: Nikola Jokic (C) — Out
- DEN: Christian Braun (G) — Out
- DEN: Peyton Watson (SF) — Out
Odds Analysis
OKC -7.5 spread reflects home dominance despite injuries. Total 230.5 anticipates scoring from stars like Shai (29.8 PPG) vs Denver's depleted roster without Jokic. ML -275/+226 implies 73% OKC win probability.
Player Props to Watch
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 29.8 points: Averaging 29.8, high 36, OKC's lead option.
- Chet Holmgren around 15.5 points: High 28, fills center void.
- Jamal Murray if plays: 23.4 PPG high 45, but team shorthanded.
Best Bets
- Thunder -7.5: Home edge, Shai leads vs Jokic-less DEN.
- Under 230.5: Injuries limit scoring; DEN allows low to Fs (10.6 pts).
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O 28.5 pts: Consistent 29.8 PPG producer.
Prediction
Thunder pull away late behind Shai's scoring, covering -7.5 in a 118-110 victory. Denver's defense edges vs forwards help, but missing Jokic dooms offense. Updated Monday, March 9, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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