Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés Odds, Picks & Prediction

Sevilla welcomes Deportivo Alavés to the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Stadium in a pivotal LaLiga clash on Sunday, February 15, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. With Sevilla pushing for European spots and Alavés battling mid-table mediocrity, this matchup carries high stakes for bettors. Consensus odds heavily favor the hosts: Sevilla -1.5 spread at -110, moneyline -180, and total O/U 2.5.

Matchup Analysis

Sevilla enters with momentum, unbeaten in their last five home games (4 wins, 1 draw), averaging 1.8 goals per match at home. Key midfielder Joan Jordán orchestrates the attack, while forwards like Isaac Romero have been clinical, scoring 8 goals this season. Defensively, the backline concedes just 0.9 goals per home game.

Deportivo Alavés struggles on the road, winning only 2 of 13 away fixtures (2-4-7 record), with a paltry 0.7 goals per away game. Their reliance on counterattacks led by Antonio Blanco falters against organized defenses like Sevilla's. Head-to-head, Sevilla has won 6 of the last 10 meetings, including a 2-1 victory earlier this season.

• Sevilla home ATS: 8-4
• Alavés away ATS: 3-9
• Recent total trend: Under 2.5 in 7 of Sevilla's last 10

Injury Report

No significant injuries for either side. Deportivo Alavés reports full squad availability, with no key absences. Sevilla also has a clean bill of health, allowing manager Francisco Javier García Pimienta to field his strongest XI. Minimal impact expected, favoring Sevilla's depth advantage.

Odds Analysis

Consensus spread of Sevilla -1.5 (-110) reflects their 65% implied win probability on the moneyline (-180). Alavés +450 offers value for upset hunters but low probability given form. Total at 2.5 leans under (55% of public bets), as both teams prioritize defense—Sevilla unders hit 60% at home, Alavés 70% away.

Line movement: Spread opened at -1 (-105), sharpening to -1.5 amid heavy Sevilla action (72% of bets). Shop for value on FanDuel or DraftKings where ML might hit -170.

Key Stats to Watch

• Sevilla possession avg: 58% home
• Alavés shots on target away: 3.2 per game
• Expected goals: Sevilla 1.7 vs Alavés 0.9

Best Bet Recommendation

Best Bet: Sevilla -1.5 (-110). The hosts cover comfortably with home dominance and Alavés' road woes. Alternative: Under 2.5 (-115) for conservative plays. Bet responsibly; odds subject to change. 18+ only.

Updated February 14, 2026. Data from 40+ sportsbooks tracked in real-time. Join our Telegram bot for live odds updates.