Los Angeles Chargers at Golden St Warriors Odds, Picks & Prediction
Golden State Warriors win 109-107 over Los Angeles Chargers. LAC's offense hampered by key absences like Chris Paul, Darius Garland, Bradley Beal, John Collins, Derrick Jones Jr., and Mason Plumlee out, plus James Harden day-to-day. Warriors' healthy core—Moses Moody (15.6 PPG), Gui Santos (15 PPG)—exploits LAC's rank #2 allowance of 1.24 three-pointers/game to guards.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Los Angeles Chargers at Golden St Warriors
- Date
- Tuesday, March 3, 2026, 3:00 AM ET
- Spread
- Golden St Warriors +1.5
- Total
- O/U 217.5
- Moneyline
- Golden St Warriors +116 / Los Angeles Chargers -136
- Best Bet
- Warriors +1.5
- Prediction
- GSW 109-107 LAC
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | +1.5 | Golden St Warriors +1.5 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 217.5 | Total | |
| -136 | +116 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
Both teams enter with 0-0 records over their last 10 games, scoring 0 PPG while allowing 0 PPG, but individual player form tells a different story. Golden State Warriors rely on Moses Moody (15.6 PPG, high 25), Gui Santos (15 PPG, high 18), De'Anthony Melton (13.9 PPG, high 20), Brandin Podziemski (11.9 PPG, high 18), and Pat Spencer (11.4 PPG, high 20). Los Angeles Chargers feature Kawhi Leonard (29.3 PPG, high 41), Bennedict Mathurin (22 PPG, high 38), John Collins (15.5 PPG, high 22), Derrick Jones Jr. (10.5 PPG, high 22), and Brook Lopez (9.9 PPG, high 16)—but availability is a major issue.
By The Numbers
| Stat | GSW (Home) | LAC (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PPG | 0 | 0 |
| Opp PPG | 0 | 0 |
| Streak | 0 | 0 |
Defensive edges favor Warriors: GSW allows threePointersMade rank #2 (0.5/game to Cs), while LAC allows threePointersMade rank #2 (1.24/game to Gs). LAC allows steals rank #3 (0.94/game to Gs), GSW allows assists rank #4 (1.93/game to Fs), GSW allows steals rank #4 (0.76/game to Fs), LAC allows steals rank #5 (0.66/game to Cs).
Key Injuries
- LAC: Chris Paul (G) — Out; Darius Garland (PG/G) — Out; Bradley Beal (SG) — Out; Mason Plumlee (F-C/C) — Out; Derrick Jones Jr. (F-G/F) — Out; Sean Pedulla (PG) — Out; John Collins (PF) — Out; TyTy Washington Jr. (G) — Out; James Harden (G) — Day-To-Day; Kris Dunn (SG) — Day-To-Day.
- GSW: Kristaps Porziņģis (C) — Out; Will Richard (SG) — Out.
Chargers are severely depleted in the backcourt and frontcourt, thinning their depth significantly.
Odds Analysis
Consensus odds: Spread Golden St Warriors +1.5, Total O/U 217.5, Moneyline Golden St Warriors +116 / Los Angeles Chargers -136. Despite favoritism, LAC's injury report shifts value to the home dog.
Player Props to Watch
- Moses Moody o15.5 points: Averaging 15.6 PPG with high of 25, faces LAC's vulnerable guard defense.
- Kawhi Leonard o28.5 points: 29.3 PPG average, high 41, but supporting cast limited.
- Gui Santos o14.5 points: 15 PPG, high 18, could feast on LAC's steals allowance rank #3 (0.94/game to Gs).
Best Bets
- Golden St Warriors +1.5: Chargers missing 8+ players including core guards; Warriors' balanced scoring intact.
- Under 217.5: Both teams 0 PPG recently; depleted LAC unlikely to push pace, GSW defense strong vs threes (0.5/game to Cs).
- Warriors ML +116: Value play with LAC's extensive outs vs GSW's healthier lineup.
Prediction
Golden State Warriors 109, Los Angeles Chargers 107. Warriors cover +1.5 and stay under total. Updated Tuesday, March 3, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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