Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Odds, Picks & Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies defeat Miami Marlins 124-116. Joel Embiid's 34.4 PPG and Tyrese Maxey's 28.6 PPG overwhelm Miami's depleted lineup, missing Andrew Wiggins (17.7 PPG), Terry Rozier, and others. Consensus -1.5 spread matches our projection exploiting MIA's defensive weaknesses vs guards (#4 points allowed to Gs at 10.75/game).
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
- Date
- Friday, February 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
- Spread
- Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
- Total
- O/U 240.5
- Moneyline
- Philadelphia Phillies -130 / Miami Marlins +110
- Best Bet
- Phillies -1.5
- Prediction
- Phillies 124-116
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 240.5 | Total | |
| +110 | -130 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies (0-0 L10, 0 PPG scored/allowed) host the Miami Marlins (0-0 L10, 0 PPG scored/allowed) in a clash featuring star power. Phillies rely on Joel Embiid (34.4 PPG, high 40), Tyrese Maxey (28.6 PPG, high 40), VJ Edgecombe (15.9 PPG, high 25), Kelly Oubre Jr. (14.3 PPG, high 25), and Quentin Grimes (10.4 PPG, high 19). Marlins counter with Norman Powell (22 PPG, high 26), Bam Adebayo (19.5 PPG, high 27), Andrew Wiggins (17.7 PPG, high 28), Tyler Herro (17.3 PPG, high 24), and Jaime Jaquez Jr. (13.8 PPG, high 23). Both at 0 streak, but Philly's duo edges out.
By The Numbers
| Stat | Phillies (Home) | Marlins (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PPG | 0 | 0 |
| Opp PPG | 0 | 0 |
| Streak | 0 | 0 |
Philly's offense projects higher with Embiid/Maxey combining for 63 PPG. MIA allows points #4 to Gs (10.75/game).
Defense Vs Position Edges
- MIA allows blocks rank #1 (0.35/game to Gs)
- PHI allows rebounds rank #2 (3.2/game to Gs)
- MIA allows rebounds rank #3 (3.18/game to Gs)
- MIA allows points rank #4 (10.75/game to Gs)
- PHI allows threePointersMade rank #4 (1.13/game to Gs)
- MIA allows rebounds rank #5 (6.68/game to Cs)
- PHI allows assists rank #5 (2.94/game to Gs)
Key Injuries
Miami Marlins: Kel'el Ware (C) Out, Nikola Jović (PF) Out, Terry Rozier (G/PG) Out, Andrew Wiggins (F) Out, Pelle Larsson (G) Out, Davion Mitchell (PG) Day-To-Day, Jaime Jaquez Jr. (F) Day-To-Day.
Philadelphia Phillies: Tyrese Martin (G) Out, Johni Broome (C) Out, Quentin Grimes (G) Out, Charles Bassey (C) Out, Kelly Oubre Jr. (F) Out, Trendon Watford (F) Out.
Odds Analysis
Consensus: Spread Phillies -1.5, Total O/U 240.5, ML Phillies -130 / Marlins +110. Philly favored at home despite injuries, reflecting Embiid/Maxey availability vs MIA's absences.
Player Props to Watch
- Joel Embiid: 34.4 PPG (high 40) vs MIA rebounds allowed #5 to Cs (6.68/game)
- Tyrese Maxey: 28.6 PPG (high 40) vs MIA points allowed #4 to Gs (10.75/game)
- Bam Adebayo: 19.5 PPG (high 27), PHI rebounds allowed #2 to Gs (3.2/game)
Best Bets
- Phillies -1.5: Embiid/Maxey exploit MIA injuries and defensive edges vs Gs.
- Under 240.5: Injuries limit scoring despite high total; both teams 0 PPG form.
- Phillies ML -130: Value on home favorite with superior stars.
Prediction
Phillies 124-116. Philly covers -1.5, total under 240.5. Embiid (34.4 PPG) dominates depleted MIA.
Updated Friday, February 27, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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