Stuttgart at Mainz Odds, Picks & Prediction
Stuttgart will win 2-1 against Mainz. Despite Mainz's home spread favoritism and elite shot suppression (1.1042 shots/game allowed, #2 rank), Stuttgart's hotter form (7-3 L10, 2.4 PPG, 0.9 allowed) plus 4 unbeaten in last 5 H2H meetings gives them the edge over Mainz's 5-5 record and L3 streak.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Stuttgart at Mainz
- Date
- Saturday, March 7, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
- Spread
- Mainz -
- Total
- O/U TBD
- Moneyline
- Mainz - / Stuttgart -
- Best Bet
- Stuttgart ML
- Prediction
- Stuttgart 2, Mainz 1
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U TBD | Total | |
| - | - | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
Mainz hosts Stuttgart in Bundesliga action on Saturday, March 7, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. Home team Mainz sits at 5-5 over their last 10, averaging 1.7 PPG while allowing 1.2, but they're mired in an L3 streak. Key players like Daniel Batz, Daniel Gleiber, Danny da Costa, Dominik Kohr, and Armindo Sieb have combined for 0 goals/game this stretch (high: 0). Defensively, Mainz ranks #2 in shots allowed (1.1042/game to all positions) and #4 in shots on target (0.4833/game).
Stuttgart, the away side, boasts a stronger 7-3 L10 record, scoring 2.4 PPG and allowing just 0.9. They're riding a W1 streak into this matchup. Head-to-head favors Stuttgart in the last 5: Mainz 1 @ Stuttgart 3; Stuttgart 3 @ Mainz 1; Stuttgart 4 @ Mainz 1; Mainz 1 @ Stuttgart 1; Stuttgart 0 @ Mainz 0. Unbeaten in 4 straight vs Mainz.
By The Numbers
| Stat | Mainz (Home) | Stuttgart (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| PPG | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| Opp PPG | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
Stuttgart's offensive punch and defensive sting highlight their edge.
Key Injuries
No significant injuries reported for either team. Full squads expected.
Odds Analysis
Consensus odds list Mainz as spread favorites (Mainz -), with moneyline Mainz - / Stuttgart -. Total set at O/U TBD. Mainz's home edge and defensive ranks (#2 shots allowed) justify favoritism, but Stuttgart's form screams value on the away side.
Player Props to Watch
- Mainz attackers (Batz, Gleiber, da Costa, Kohr, Sieb): All at 0 goals/game (high: 0) in recent form—expect continued struggles vs Stuttgart's 0.9 allowed.
- Stuttgart's attack: 2.4 PPG firepower could exploit Mainz's L3 skid.
Best Bets
- Stuttgart Moneyline: Better 7-3 L10, 2.4 PPG, H2H dominance (4 unbeaten).
- Under O/U TBD: Mainz allows 1.1042 shots/game (#2), Stuttgart 0.9 allowed; low-scoring H2H trends (multiple 1-1, 0-0).
- Stuttgart + Spread: Form edge over Mainz's 5-5 and L3.
Prediction
Stuttgart 2, Mainz 1. VfB's superior metrics overpower Mainz's defense in a tight contest.
Updated Saturday, March 7, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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