Borussia Monchengladbach at FC Augsburg Odds, Picks & Prediction

Matchup Preview: FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Monchengladbach

In this Bundesliga clash on Saturday, May 9, 2026, FC Augsburg hosts Borussia Monchengladbach with the home side favored by a slim margin. The consensus odds line FC Augsburg at -0.5, implying a straight win is required for bettors covering the spread. With the moneyline set at -105 for Augsburg and +240 for Gladbach, the market sees this as a tight contest, yet leans slightly toward the home team's offensive capabilities.

FC Augsburg enters this fixture with a 2-5 record in their last 10 games, but they have bounced back with a Win 1 streak. Their offense is averaging 1.6 goals per game, which is significantly higher than Monchengladbach's 1.0 PPG. However, Augsburg's defense has been leaky, allowing 1.9 goals per game. Borussia Monchengladbach, sitting at 2-4 in their last 10, boasts a much tighter defense, allowing only 0.7 goals per game, and also comes off a Win 1 streak.

The key to this matchup lies in Augsburg's ability to exploit their home advantage against a Gladbach side that struggles to score. Despite Gladbach's defensive solidity, Augsburg's attack, led by Anton Kade (0.8 goals/game), should find space.

By The Numbers

Stat	FC Augsburg (Home)	Borussia Monchengladbach (Away)
Record (L10)	2-5	2-4
Goals Per Game (Scoring)	1.6	1.0
Goals Allowed Per Game	1.9	0.7
Current Streak	W1	W1

Key Injuries

FC Augsburg is dealing with significant absences that could impact their lineup. Notably, Michael Gregoritsch (Centre-Forward) is out, which removes a key depth option despite his low 0.3 goals/game average. Other missing pieces include Mads Pedersen, Ismaël Gharbi, Chrislain Matsima, Yannik Keitel, Uchenna Ogundu, and Jeffrey Gouweleeuw. This forces Augsburg to rely on their core starters like Anton Kade and Fabian Rieder.

Odds Analysis

The spread of -0.5 for FC Augsburg suggests the sportsbooks believe the home team has just enough quality to edge out the game. The total of 3.25 goals indicates an expectation of moderate scoring. Given Augsburg's 1.6 PPG and Gladbach's 0.7 allowed, a score around 2-1 or 2-2 seems plausible. The value lies in the home team covering the half-goal spread.

Player Props to Watch

• Joshua Kimmich Passes Attempted: Over 101.5 (+100). Kimmich is a central midfield engine, and in a Bundesliga game, he is likely to accumulate high pass counts.
• Manuel Neuer Goalie Saves: Over 2.5 (+100). With Augsburg conceding nearly 2 goals per game, Neuer will likely be tested.
• Anton Kade Scoring: As the leading scorer for Augsburg with 0.8 goals/game, he is a prime candidate to find the net against a Gladbach defense that, while tight, has shown cracks.

Best Bets

1. FC Augsburg -0.5 Spread: The home team's offensive output (1.6 PPG) vs. Gladbach's low scoring (1.0 PPG) suggests Augsburg will outscore them. The -0.5 line provides a clear path to victory.
2. Over 3.25 Total Goals: With both teams coming off wins and Augsburg's defensive leaks (1.9 allowed), we expect at least 3 goals. The 2-1 prediction hits the over.
3. Joshua Kimmich Over 101.5 Passes Attempted: A safe prop bet based on his role and the likely tempo of the Bundesliga match.

Prediction

FC Augsburg is predicted to win 2-1. Their home-field advantage and higher scoring rate should overcome Monchengladbach's defensive resilience, especially with Gladbach struggling to convert chances into goals.

Updated Saturday, May 9, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →