Crystal Palace at Manchester City Odds, Picks & Prediction

Matchup Preview: Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace

On Wednesday, May 13, 2026, Manchester City hosts Crystal Palace at the Etihad Stadium in a crucial Premier League contest. The odds reflect City's dominance, with Manchester City favored by -2 points and priced at -370 on the moneyline, while Crystal Palace sits at +780. The total is set at 3.5 goals, suggesting a moderate-scoring affair.

Manchester City enters this fixture with a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, riding a two-game winning streak. They are averaging 1.9 goals per game while allowing just 0.7, showcasing their defensive solidity despite key absences. Crystal Palace, conversely, is struggling significantly with a 3-7 record in their last 10 games and a six-game losing streak. The Eagles average only 1.1 goals per game and concede 1.4, making them vulnerable against City's potent attack.

Key Injuries Impacting the Game

Both teams are dealing with significant injury lists, but Crystal Palace's roster is notably thinner. Crystal Palace is out: Dean Henderson (GK), Adam Wharton (DM), Cheick Doucouré (DM), Jean-Philippe Mateta (CF), Chris Richards (CB), Evann Guessand (RW), Caleb Kporha (RB), Eddie Nketiah (CF), Rio Cardines (LB), and Daniel Muñoz (RB). The absence of Mateta, Henderson, and the midfield duo of Wharton and Doucouré severely weakens their defensive structure and offensive output.

Manchester City is out: John Stones (CB), Rodri (DM), Rico Lewis (RB), Josko Gvardiol (CB), and Mateo Kovacic (CM). While the loss of Rodri and Stones is impactful, City's depth and home-field advantage help mitigate these gaps.

By The Numbers

Stat	Manchester City (Home)	Crystal Palace (Away)
Record (L10)	6-4	3-7
Goals Per Game	1.9	1.1
Allowed Per Game	0.7	1.4
Current Streak	W2	L6
Fouls Allowed Rank	#4 (0.84/game)	-
Tackles Allowed Rank	#4 (2.17/game)	-
Shots on Target Allowed Rank	-	#5 (0.29/game)

Odds Analysis

The -2 spread indicates that City needs to win by 3 goals or more for the bet to hit. Given City's 1.9 PPG and Palace's 1.4 allowed, a multi-goal victory is plausible. The total of 3.5 aligns with City's scoring ability but accounts for Palace's weakened attack. City's ability to force fouls (rank #4) and tackle effectively (rank #4) suggests they will control the midfield tempo.

Player Props to Watch

• Rayan Cherki Shots Assisted Over 2.5 (+100): Cherki averages 0.3 goals/game with a high of 1, suggesting creative involvement. Against Palace's defense, his assist potential is high.
• Jérémy Doku Dribbles Attempted Over 8.5 (+100): Doku averages 0.8 goals/game and is known for his dribbling. With Palace's defense missing key players like Richards and Muñoz, Doku should exploit space.
• Tyrick Mitchell Tackles Over 2.5 (+100): As Palace's left-back, Mitchell is likely to face City's attack frequently. Palace allows shots on target at a rank #5 rate, keeping defenders busy.
• Antoine Semenyo Dribbles Attempted Over 3.5 (+100): Semenyo faces City's defense, which allows fouls at a rank #4 rate. This creates opportunities for dribbling attempts.

Best Bets

1. Manchester City -2 Spread: The most logical play. City's home form (W2) and scoring average (1.9 PPG) against Palace's poor defense (1.4 allowed) and 6-game losing streak make a 2+ goal victory likely.
2. Rayan Cherki Shots Assisted Over 2.5 (+100): A value prop. Cherki's creative output, combined with City's attacking prowess, makes this a strong over bet.
3. Jérémy Doku Dribbles Attempted Over 8.5 (+100): With Palace missing key defenders, Doku's dribbling ability should shine, easily surpassing 8.5 attempts.

Prediction

Manchester City is expected to secure a comfortable victory. Their offensive firepower, led by Haaland (1 goal/game) and Doku (0.8 goals/game), combined with Crystal Palace's defensive injuries, points to a scoreline of 3-1. City covers the -2 spread, and the game goes Over 3.5 goals.

Updated Wednesday, May 13, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →