DAYTON FLYERS at GEORGE MASON PATRIOTS Odds, Picks & Prediction
George Mason Patriots will defeat Dayton Flyers 71-67. Why? Patriots 6-4 L10 vs Flyers 5-5, won last two H2H at home 71-67 each, defense allows 71 PPG to Dayton's 74.7. Live underdogs at +14.5 with ML -145 value in close, low-scoring affair.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- DAYTON FLYERS at GEORGE MASON PATRIOTS
- Date
- Thursday, February 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
- Spread
- GEORGE MASON PATRIOTS +14.5
- Total
- O/U 147.5
- Moneyline
- GEORGE MASON PATRIOTS -145 / DAYTON FLYERS +125
- Best Bet
- George Mason +14.5
- Prediction
- George Mason 71, Dayton 67
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +125 | -145 | +14.5 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 147.5 | Total | |
| +125 | -145 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
The George Mason Patriots host the Dayton Flyers in a key NCAAB clash on Thursday, February 19, 2026, at 12:00 AM ET. George Mason enters with a solid 6-4 record over their last 10 games, averaging 69.8 PPG while allowing 71 PPG, but on a three-game losing streak (L3). Dayton is 5-5 in their L10, scoring 72.8 PPG but leaking 74.7 PPG defensively, riding a W1 streak.
Head-to-head, it's tight: Dayton 67 @ George Mason 71, Dayton 67 @ George Mason 71, and George Mason 65 @ Dayton 74 in the last three meetings. George Mason has dominated at home in this series, winning the past two by 4 points each.
By The Numbers
| Stat | George Mason (Home) | Dayton (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| PPG | 69.8 | 72.8 |
| Opp PPG | 71 | 74.7 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
George Mason edges recent form and defense, while Dayton has a slight scoring advantage but worse allowed points.
Key Injuries
No significant injuries reported for either team.
Odds Analysis
Consensus odds show George Mason +14.5 spread (at -145), O/U 147.5, and moneyline George Mason -145 / Dayton +125. The wide spread contrasts the ML favoritism for the home Patriots, suggesting market sees upset potential or blowout risk, but H2H points to close game. Totals align with combined averages: George Mason games ~140.8 total, Dayton ~147.5.
| Market | Line | Home (GM) | Away (Dayton) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | +14.5 | -145 | +125 |
| Total | O/U 147.5 | - | - |
| Moneyline | - | -145 | +125 |
Player Props to Watch
Darius Acuff Rebounds Over/Under 2.5 (Over -145). With low lines, watch for rebounding battles in this defensive matchup.
Best Bets
- George Mason Patriots +14.5 (-145): H2H home wins by 4; 6-4 L10 beats Dayton's 5-5, covers easily in projected close game.
- Under 147.5: Combined scoring trends low (GM 140.8 avg total, H2H ~138), defenses hold firm at 71 and 74.7 allowed.
- George Mason ML -145: Home edge, better form, ML favoritism despite spread.
Prediction
George Mason Patriots 71, Dayton Flyers 67. Expect another tight home win like recent H2H, under total, GM covers +14.5.
Updated Thursday, February 19, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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