Everton at Crystal Palace Odds, Picks & Prediction
Everton wins 2-1. Despite both teams on five-game losing streaks, Everton's superior 2 PPG scoring offense edges Crystal Palace's 1 PPG attack. With Palace missing Mateta and nine other key players, Everton's defense ranks #2 in tackles, securing the win at Selhurst Park.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Everton at Crystal Palace
- Date
- Sunday, May 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
- Spread
- Crystal Palace 0
- Total
- O/U 2.5
- Moneyline
- Crystal Palace +164 / Everton +185
- Best Bet
- Everton ML +185
- Prediction
- Everton 2, Crystal Palace 1
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +185 | +164 | 0 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 2.5 | Total | |
| +185 | +164 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview: Everton at Crystal Palace
On Sunday, May 10, 2026, Everton travels to Selhurst Park for a crucial EPL clash against Crystal Palace. Both sides enter the fixture in poor form, with Crystal Palace sitting on a five-game losing streak (L5) and Everton matching that drought. However, the data suggests a divergence in offensive capability that favors the visitors.
Crystal Palace's attack has struggled significantly, averaging just 1 goal per game (PPG) over their last ten matches, while allowing 1.4 PPG. In stark contrast, Everton has been more potent offensively, averaging 2 PPG despite conceding 1.7 PPG. The primary driver for Everton's success is striker Beto, who is averaging 1 goal per game with a high of 1 in recent outings, supported by Thierno Barry (0.5 PPG) and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (0.5 PPG).
Crystal Palace's offensive woes are compounded by a massive injury list. Key forwards Jean-Philippe Mateta (0.5 PPG) and Eddie Nketiah are out, alongside Daniel Muñoz (0.3 PPG). This depletion forces reliance on Brennan Johnson, who has recorded 0 goals/game recently. Meanwhile, Everton's defense is elite, ranking #2 in tackles allowed at 2.3659 per game to all positions, providing a sturdy foundation to exploit Palace's shaky backline.
By The Numbers
A side-by-side comparison of the two teams highlights the disparity in current form and offensive output.
| Stat | Crystal Palace (Home) | Everton (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (Last 10) | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Points Per Game (Offense) | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Opponent Points Per Game (Defense) | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Current Streak | L5 | L5 |
| Shots on Target Allowed | #5 (0.29/game) | - |
| Tackles Allowed | - | #2 (2.37/game) |
Key Injuries Impact
Crystal Palace is decimated by injuries, which heavily influences the betting lines. The following key players are ruled out:
- Jefferson Montero / Mateta: Jean-Philippe Mateta (Centre-Forward) is out, removing their top scorer.
- Attack: Eddie Nketiah (Centre-Forward) is also out.
- Midfield: Adam Wharton and Cheick Doucouré (Defensive Midfield) are sidelined.
- Defense: Chris Richards, Caleb Kporha, Rio Cardines, and Daniel Muñoz are all out.
- Goalkeeper: Dean Henderson is out.
Everton has retained most of its core structure, allowing Beto to thrive against a depleted Palace backline.
Odds Analysis
The consensus odds present a tight contest. The Spread is set at Crystal Palace 0, indicating a pick'em game. The Moneyline lists Crystal Palace at +164 and Everton at +185. The Total is set at an unusually low O/U 2.5, reflecting the defensive struggles and offensive shortages on both sides, particularly Palace's inability to score consistently (1 PPG).
Player Props to Watch
Based on recent performance data, here are notable props:
- Beto (Everton): With 1 goal/game average, look for value in any goalscorer props.
- Thierno Barry (Everton): Averaging 0.5 goals/game with a high of 2, he is a consistent threat.
- Mateus Fernandes Passes Attempted: Over 44.5 (+100). As a creative midfielder, his involvement should be high against a Palace side that allows 0.29 shots on target per game, potentially leading to sustained possession.
- Jarrod Bowen Passes Attempted: Over 17.5 (+100). Bowen's passing volume is expected to be high given Palace's defensive structure.
Best Bets
- Everton Moneyline (+185): The safest play. Everton's 2 PPG offense vs Palace's 1 PPG offense, combined with Palace's extensive injury list, makes Everton the clear favorite despite the pick'em spread.
- Under 2.5 Total (-110): With Palace scoring only 1 PPG and Everton's defense allowing 1.7 PPG, a low-scoring affair is likely. Both teams are on losing streaks, suggesting cautious play.
- Beto Anytime Goalscorer: Averaging 1 goal per game, Beto is the most reliable offensive weapon for Everton against a Palace defense missing key defenders.
Prediction
Crystal Palace will struggle to find the net without Mateta and Nketiah, likely settling for a late goal or a draw. Everton, led by Beto's clinical finishing and a top-tier tackle defense, will control the midfield. Expect Everton to edge this tight contest 2-1.
Updated Sunday, May 10, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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