FC Augsburg at Union Berlin Odds, Picks & Prediction

Matchup Preview: Union Berlin Looks to Snap Losing Skid

On Saturday, May 16, 2026, Union Berlin hosts FC Augsburg in a Bundesliga clash that carries significant weight for both clubs. Union Berlin enters this fixture in a slump, sporting a dismal 0-2 record in their last 10 games while averaging 0 points per game and allowing 2.5 points. They are currently riding a two-game losing streak and have failed to score in their recent outings.

However, the context of FC Augsburg's injury list makes Union Berlin a compelling value pick. Augsburg arrives with a 3-5 record in their last 10 games and a two-game winning streak, but they are missing nine key players. The absence of defenders Mads Pedersen, Dimitrios Giannoulis, Arthur Chaves, Chrislain Matsima, and Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, along with midfield anchor Yannik Keitel and forwards Michael Gregoritsch and Uchenna Ogundu, severely weakens their structure. While Augsburg averages 1.8 goals per game, their defense allows 1.8 as well, suggesting a leaky backline that Union could exploit.

By The Numbers

Stat	Union Berlin (Home)	FC Augsburg (Away)
Record (L10)	0-2	3-5
Points Per Game	0	1.8
Opponent PPG	2.5	1.8
Current Streak	L2	W2

Key Injuries Impact

FC Augsburg's injury report is alarming for bettors backing the away side. The team is without:

• Defensive Line: Mads Pedersen, Dimitrios Giannoulis, Arthur Chaves, Chrislain Matsima, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw.
• Midfield: Yannik Keitel.
• Attack: Michael Gregoritsch, Uchenna Ogundu, Ismaël Gharbi.

With Gregoritsch (0.7 goals/game) out, Augsburg's primary scoring threat is reduced. Anton Kade (0.8 goals/game) and Fabian Rieder (0.5 goals/game) will need to step up, but facing a Union defense that has been solid in structure despite poor results could be difficult.

Odds Analysis

The consensus odds present a unique scenario. The spread is set at Union Berlin 0, indicating a pick'em game. However, the moneyline offers Union Berlin at +150 and FC Augsburg at +133. Given Union's home field advantage and Augsburg's depleted squad, the +150 moneyline provides excellent value. The total is set at an unusually high O/U 3.5, which may be inflated by Augsburg's recent offensive output despite their injuries, or Union's defensive struggles.

Player Props to Watch

• Yannik Engelhardt Shots Over/Under: Shots 0.5 (Over +123). With Union's attack needing to wake up, Engelhardt could see increased usage.
• Wouter Burger Tackles Over/Under: Tackles 2.5 (Over +100). Burger is a key defensive presence for Union.
• Leon Avdullahu Dribbles_attempted Over/Under: Dribbles 0.5 (Over +100). A low line suggests he is expected to be active.
• Moritz Nicolas Passes_attempted Over/Under: Passes 35.5 (Over +100). Nicolas is likely to be busy in midfield.

Best Bets

1. Union Berlin Moneyline (+150): The safest bet. Union is at home, and Augsburg is missing nearly half their defense and key attacking options. Union's 0-2 record includes losses to strong teams, making them due for a bounce-back.
2. Wouter Burger Tackles Over 2.5 (+100): With Augsburg missing multiple center-backs and a defensive midfielder, Union will press high. Burger is well-positioned to rack up tackles.
3. Union Berlin +0 Spread: Even if the game ends in a draw, the push is guaranteed. With Augsburg's injuries, Union is unlikely to lose.

Prediction

Union Berlin 2, FC Augsburg 1. Union's home crowd will push them past their recent slump, capitalizing on Augsburg's defensive vulnerabilities to secure a narrow victory.

Updated Saturday, May 16, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →