Las Vegas Aces at Dallas Wings Odds, Picks & Prediction

Matchup Preview

The Las Vegas Aces (8-2, L10) travel to face the Dallas Wings (1-9, L10) on Thursday, May 28, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET. Las Vegas enters this contest riding a five-game winning streak, while Dallas is coming off a single win in their last game after a difficult stretch. The Aces are averaging 87.8 points per game while holding opponents to just 82.8 points per game, giving them the best point differential in the league at +5.0 per contest.

Dallas is struggling on both ends of the floor. The Wings are averaging 84.2 points per game while allowing 91.3 points per game, resulting in a -7.1 point differential. This defensive vulnerability is exactly what the Aces' balanced attack is built to exploit.

Historically, this matchup favors Las Vegas. In their last five meetings, the Aces have won four of five games, including a dominant 106-87 road victory and a 106-80 home win. The Wings have won only once in that span, a 86-84 road victory, suggesting the Aces consistently have Dallas' number.

By The Numbers

Stat	Dallas Wings (Home)	Las Vegas Aces (Away)
Record (L10)	1-9	8-2
Points Per Game	84.2	87.8
Opponent PPG	91.3	82.8
Current Streak	W1	W5
Head-to-Head (Last 5)	1-4	4-1

Key Injuries

No significant injuries have been reported for either team heading into this matchup, meaning both squads will be at full strength. Dallas can deploy their best available lineup against an Aces team that is also unimpeded by key absences.

Odds Analysis

The spread has the Dallas Wings as a 4.5-point underdog at home, which seems generous given their 1-9 record in their last 10 games. The total sits at 169.5, which aligns with the combined scoring trends of both teams.

Las Vegas is the clear favorite on the moneyline, reflecting their superior form and the matchup advantages they hold. The Aces' ability to hold opponents to 82.8 points per game while scoring 87.8 suggests they are built for consistency — a trait Dallas has struggled to match.

Odds Breakdown

Market	Line	Dallas Wings	Las Vegas Aces
Spread	+/- 4.5	-	-
Total	O/U 169.5	-	-
Moneyline	-	-	-

Player Props to Watch

• Paige Bueckers Points Over 19.5 (-118) — Bueckers is a key offensive weapon for Dallas and has shown the ability to score in bulk. At 19.5 points, this is a solid play given the Wings' tendency to play at a faster pace.
• Paige Bueckers Assists Over 5.5 (-151) — Bueckers' playmaking ability makes this a value play. The -151 odds reflect confidence in her ability to distribute against a Las Vegas defense that, while strong, has shown vulnerabilities in transition.
• Arike Ogunbowale Points Over 15.5 (-135) — Ogunbowale has been a consistent scorer and should see plenty of opportunities against the Aces' defense.
• Chelsea Gray Assists Over 6.5 (-126) — Gray's court vision and ability to run the offense make this a strong prop to consider.
• Jewell Loyd Threes Over 1.5 (+102) — Loyd has been a reliable three-point threat, and the +102 odds offer good value on this prop.
• Chennedy Carter Points Over 16.5 (-101) — Carter has been a key scoring option and should find success against the Aces' defense.
• Jackie Young Rebounds Over 4.5 (-113) — Young has been active on the glass and should continue to be a threat in that area.

Best Bets

• Las Vegas Aces -4.5 (Best Bet) — The Aces are 8-2 in their last 10 games with a five-game winning streak. Dallas is 1-9 in the same span and has struggled on both ends of the floor. The +4.5 spread offers good value, especially given the Aces' dominant head-to-head history against the Wings (4-1 in their last 5 meetings).
• Over 169.5 Total — Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games. Dallas allows 91.3 points per game and Las Vegas averages 87.8 points per game. The combined scoring trends suggest a game that will easily clear 169.5 points.
• Paige Bueckers Points Over 19.5 (-118) — Bueckers is a key offensive weapon for Dallas and has shown the ability to score in bulk. The Over at -118 offers good value given her role and the Aces' defensive tendencies.

Prediction

We predict the Las Vegas Aces will win 95-84. The Aces' superior form, head-to-head dominance, and balanced scoring attack give them the edge. Dallas' struggles on both ends of the floor, combined with Las Vegas' ability to control the pace, should result in a comfortable cover of the +4.5 spread.

Updated Thursday, May 28, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →