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Levante at Celta Vigo Odds, Picks & Prediction

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Celta Vigo is predicted to win against Levante with a score of 2-1. The home side's three-game winning streak and superior recent form make them the clear favorite to cover the -0.75 spread despite Levante's elite defensive metrics.

Quick Facts

Matchup
Levante at Celta Vigo
Date
Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Spread
Celta Vigo -0.75
Total
O/U 2.75
Moneyline
Celta Vigo -138 / Levante +355
Best Bet
Celta Vigo -0.75 Spread
Prediction
2-1 Celta Vigo

Odds Comparison

Sportsbookawayhomelinemarket
+355-138-0.75Spread
--O/U 2.75Total
+355-138-Moneyline

Matchup Preview: Celta Vigo vs Levante

On Tuesday, May 12, 2026, Celta Vigo hosts Levante in a crucial La Liga clash. The odds favor the home side, with Celta Vigo listed as -0.75 favorites. Celta enters this contest on a strong three-game winning streak (W3), demonstrating solid form with a 4-5 record in their last 10 games. They average 1.7 points per game while allowing 1.7, showing a balanced attack and defense.

Levante, the visitors, have been resilient with a 2-2 record in their last 10 games and a current one-game winning streak (W1). They score 1.5 points per game but allow 1.8, indicating they can be vulnerable defensively. However, Levante boasts the league's #2 ranked defense against shots (0.9701/game) and #3 rank in assists allowed (0.1116/game), suggesting they keep games tight.

By The Numbers

Comparing the two sides reveals key disparities in momentum and efficiency. While Levante's defense is statistically elite in limiting shots, Celta's recent offensive output has been more consistent.

StatCelta Vigo (Home)Levante (Away)
Record (L10)4-52-2
Points Per Game1.71.5
Opponent PPG1.71.8
Current StreakW3W1

Key Injuries

No significant injuries have been reported for either Celta Vigo or Levante. Both squads are expected to field their strongest available lineups, ensuring that the tactical matchup between Celta's attack and Levante's stingy defense will be decided by form rather than absences.

Odds Analysis

The moneyline sits at Celta Vigo -138 / Levante +355, reflecting the market's confidence in the home team. The total is set at O/U 2.75, implying a moderate-scoring game. Given Celta's W3 streak and Levante's ability to limit shots, a low-scoring affair is possible, but Celta's offensive consistency makes them likely to edge out the spread.

Player Props to Watch

  • Nahuel Molina: Shots on Goal O/U 0.5 (+175). With Levante allowing only 0.3759 shots on target per game to all positions, Molina offers value if he can break through the defensive line.
  • Nicolas Gonzalez: Shots O/U 2.5 (-137). Gonzalez is priced for volume, suggesting he should see multiple attempts.
  • Thiago Almada: Points O/U 1.5 (-1362). Almada is heavily favored to contribute points, indicating high involvement in the final third.

Best Bets

  • Celta Vigo -0.75: The home team's momentum and superior recent form make them the safest play against a Levante side that, while defensively solid, has struggled to keep clean sheets against top-tier attacks.
  • Under 2.75: Levante's elite shot suppression (Rank #2) and Celta's balanced defense suggest a tight game where goals are hard to come by.

Prediction

Celta Vigo is expected to secure a narrow victory, 2-1, covering the -0.75 spread. Their offensive rhythm during the winning streak should exploit Levante's occasional defensive lapses, despite the visitors' strong shot-blocking metrics.

Updated Tuesday, May 12, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →

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