Manchester City at Burnley Odds, Picks & Prediction
Manchester City will dominate Burnley with a 3-0 victory. City's 1.5 PPG and W2 streak overpower Burnley's 0-7 skid and 0.7 PPG offense, despite City's defensive injuries. Burnley's elite defense (allows 0.1176 goals/game, rank #3) faces City's Haaland (0.5 goals/game) and Doku.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Manchester City at Burnley
- Date
- Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
- Spread
- Burnley +2.5
- Total
- O/U 3.5
- Moneyline
- Burnley +1550 / Manchester City -672
- Best Bet
- Man City ML -672
- Prediction
- Man City 3, Burnley 0
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Burnley +2.5 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 3.5 | Total | |
| -672 | +1550 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
Manchester City heads to Turf Moor as massive -672 favorites against a reeling Burnley side. Burnley sits on a brutal 0-7 record over their last 10 matches, averaging just 0.7 PPG while allowing 2 per game. Their streak: L7. Key attackers like Zian Flemming (0.5 goals/game, high 1) and others (Florentino, Ekdal, Humphreys at 0 goals/game) have gone cold.
Contrast that with City: 3-3 L10, 1.5 PPG scored, 0.7 allowed, on a W2 streak. Marc Guéhi, Nico O'Reilly, Erling Haaland, Jérémy Doku, and Rayan Cherki each notch 0.5 goals/game (high 1). Despite injuries, City's attack should exploit Burnley's woes.
By The Numbers
| Stat | Burnley (Home) | Man City (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 0-7 | 3-3 |
| PPG | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| Opp PPG | 2 | 0.7 |
| Streak | L7 | W2 |
Burnley boasts top-tier defense edges: allows 0.9628 shots/game (rank #1), 0.335 shots on target (#1), 0.1295 assists (#2), 0.1176 goals (#3). City allows 0.8436 fouls (#4), 2.1667 tackles (#4).
Key Injuries
- Manchester City: John Stones (Centre-Back) — Out; Rico Lewis (Right-Back) — Out; Rúben Dias (Centre-Back) — Out; Josko Gvardiol (Centre-Back) — Out; Mateo Kovacic (Central Midfield) — Out.
City's backline is decimated, potentially exposing them, but Burnley's toothless attack (0.7 PPG) may not capitalize.
Odds Analysis
Consensus: Burnley +2.5 spread, O/U 3.5, ML Burnley +1550 / City -672. City's favoritism reflects form gap, but Burnley's defensive ranks suggest a low-scoring affair.
Player Props to Watch
- Zeki Amdouni Shots on Goal O/U 0.5 (Over -182)
- Axel Tuanzebe Goals+Assists O/U 0.5 (Over -845)
- Nathan Ake Goals+Assists O/U 0.5 (Over -260)
- Rayan Ait Nouri Goals+Assists O/U 0.5 (Over -178)
- Mateo Kovacic Fouls O/U 1.5 (Over -276) — but Kovacic OUT
- Quilindschy Hartman Tackles O/U 2 (Over +100)
- Nico O'Reilly Tackles O/U 2 (Over +100)
- Matheus Nunes Tackles O/U 1.5 (Over +100)
Best Bets
- Manchester City ML (-672): Burnley's 0-7 L10 can't match City's 1.5 PPG firepower.
- Under 3.5 (-110 implied): Burnley allows just 0.1176 goals/game (rank #3); City scores 1.5 PPG.
- Nathan Ake Goals+Assists Over 0.5 (-260): City's depleted defense boosts set-piece chances.
Prediction
Man City 3, Burnley 0. City rolls despite injuries.
Updated Wednesday, April 22, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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