Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors Odds, Picks & Prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves will defeat Golden State Warriors 116-112. Despite playing on the road, the Wolves' superior recent form (6-4 vs 3-7 in last 10) and momentum from winning the head-to-head series 3-2 makes them the value pick.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors
- Date
- Friday, March 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
- Spread
- Golden State Warriors -
- Total
- O/U TBD
- Moneyline
- Golden State Warriors - / Minnesota Timberwolves -
- Best Bet
- Minnesota Timberwolves moneyline value
- Prediction
- Timberwolves 116, Warriors 112
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | TBD | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U TBD | Total | |
| - | - | TBD | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview: Form Favors the Visitors
The Minnesota Timberwolves travel to Golden State with significantly better recent form, posting a 6-4 record over their last 10 games compared to the Warriors' struggling 3-7 mark. Both teams enter on identical three-game losing streaks, but Minnesota's overall body of work suggests they're the better team right now.
Offensively, the teams are nearly identical with Minnesota averaging 112.3 PPG and Golden State 113.4 PPG. However, both squads are allowing 117.2 points per game defensively, indicating this could be a high-scoring affair despite the recent struggles.
By The Numbers
| Stat | Warriors | Timberwolves |
| Record (L10) | 3-7 | 6-4 |
| PPG | 113.4 | 112.3 |
| Opp PPG | 117.2 | 117.2 |
| Current Streak | L3 | L3 |
Head-to-Head History Tells a Story
The recent head-to-head matchups heavily favor Minnesota, who have won 3 of the last 5 meetings. Most notably, Minnesota dominated 108-83 in the most recent encounter and also won 121-110 and 119-115 in high-scoring affairs. The Warriors' lone recent wins came via a 111-85 blowout and a narrow 127-120 victory.
Key Injuries
Both teams enter this matchup with clean injury reports, meaning we should see both squads at full strength for this late-night tip-off.
Player Props to Watch
Several intriguing prop bets are available, including Luka Doncic field goals attempted over 23.5 (-125) and LeBron James field goals attempted over 14.5 (-141). Jaxson Hayes field goals attempted over 3.5 offers plus money at +125, while Rui Hachimura's 9.5 field goals attempted line is set at -135 for the over.
Best Bets
- Minnesota Timberwolves Moneyline: The superior recent form (6-4 vs 3-7) and head-to-head dominance (3-2 in last 5) makes Minnesota excellent value as road underdogs.
- Over Total Points: With both teams allowing 117.2 PPG and recent meetings averaging 115+ points, expect a high-scoring affair.
- Jaxson Hayes Over 3.5 Field Goals Attempted (+125): Plus money on a low number for a rotation player offers solid value.
Final Prediction
While Golden State has home court advantage, Minnesota's significantly better recent form and head-to-head success makes them the smart play. Both teams struggle defensively (117.2 PPG allowed), setting up a competitive, high-scoring game where the Timberwolves' superior recent play should carry them to victory.
Final Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 116, Golden State Warriors 112
Updated Friday, March 13, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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