New Orleans Pelicans at Houston Rockets Odds, Picks & Prediction

Matchup Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans travel to Houston riding momentum with a 7-3 record over their last 10 games and a 2-game winning streak. The Pelicans have been explosive offensively, averaging 121 points per game while allowing 116 defensively. Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets enter this contest at 6-4 in their last 10 games but coming off a loss that snapped their recent momentum.

Houston's offensive output of 113.9 PPG pales in comparison to New Orleans' high-octane attack, creating a significant 7.1-point differential in scoring. The Rockets' defense has been marginally better, allowing 113 points compared to the Pelicans' 116, but this advantage may not be enough to overcome their offensive struggles.

By The Numbers

Head-to-Head History

The recent series between these teams has been competitive, with the last five meetings split. New Orleans won the most recent encounter 112-110, while Houston took the previous meeting 128-111. The Pelicans hold a 3-2 advantage in the last five games, including impressive victories of 130-101 and 110-99.

Key Injuries

Both teams enter this matchup with clean injury reports, meaning we should see both squads at full strength. This eliminates any injury-related variables and allows for a pure talent and form-based analysis.

Player Props to Watch

Several intriguing player props are available for this contest. Matas Buzelis has an interesting field goals attempted line at 14.5 (Over -116), suggesting heavy involvement in the offense. Josh Giddey's field goals attempted prop sits at 14.5 (Over -125), indicating his expanded role. Jaxson Hayes offers value at 3.5 field goals attempted (Over +125), presenting potential upside for a role player.

Best Bets

1. New Orleans Pelicans Moneyline

The Pelicans' superior recent form (7-3 vs 6-4) and offensive firepower (121 PPG) make them attractive road underdogs. Their 2-game winning streak and 3-2 head-to-head advantage in recent meetings support this play.

2. Over Total Points (when available)

With New Orleans averaging 121 PPG and Houston at 113.9, combined with both teams allowing over 110 points defensively, this game projects for high scoring. The pace should favor the over.

3. Matas Buzelis Over 14.5 Field Goals Attempted (-116)

The odds suggest Buzelis will be heavily featured in the game plan. At -116, this prop offers reasonable value for a player expected to see significant touches.

Prediction

New Orleans enters with better form, superior offensive numbers, and positive momentum. While Houston has home-court advantage, the Pelicans' 7.1 PPG scoring advantage and current 2-game winning streak should prove decisive. Expect a competitive game that sees New Orleans pull away in the fourth quarter.

Final Score Prediction: New Orleans Pelicans 118, Houston Rockets 112

Updated Friday, March 13, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →