New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals Odds, Picks & Prediction
The St. Louis Cardinals will win 4-3 over the New York Mets. Despite Mets' -167 favoritism, Cardinals' elite 8-2 L10 record (5 PPG), W1 streak, and 3-2 edge in last 5 H2H meetings trump Mets' 4-6 slump and L1 streak. Both defenses allow just 3.8 PPG.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals
- Date
- Wednesday, April 1, 2026, 1:15 PM ET
- Spread
- St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
- Total
- O/U 7.5
- Moneyline
- St. Louis Cardinals +138 / New York Mets -167
- Best Bet
- Cardinals ML +138
- Prediction
- Cardinals 4, Mets 3
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | +1.5 | 1.5 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 7.5 | Total | |
| -167 | +138 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals (8-2 L10, 5 PPG scored, 3.8 allowed, W1 streak) host the New York Mets (4-6 L10, 4 PPG scored, 3.8 allowed, L1 streak) in a clash where form favors the home underdogs. Cardinals boast MLB's #1 rankings in allowing strikeouts, total bases, walks, and hits (0/game to PRs). Mets match with #1 defenses vs home runs, RBI, strikeouts, total bases, walks, and hits.
By The Numbers
| Stat | Cardinals (Home) | Mets (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 8-2 | 4-6 |
| PPG | 5 | 4 |
| Opp PPG | 3.8 | 3.8 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
Head-to-Head (Last 5)
- New York Mets 0 @ St. Louis Cardinals 3
- New York Mets 4 @ St. Louis Cardinals 2
- St. Louis Cardinals 4 @ New York Mets 3
- New York Mets 1 @ St. Louis Cardinals 3
- St. Louis Cardinals 1 @ New York Mets 6
Cardinals hold 3-2 edge, winning 3 of 4 home games vs Mets.
Key Injuries
No significant injuries reported for either team.
Odds Analysis
Mets are -167 ML favorites with -1.5 spread implied, but Cardinals +138 ML and +1.5 spread offer value given 8-2 hot streak vs Mets' 4-6 slump. Total O/U 7.5 fits low-scoring trends (both allow 3.8 PPG).
| Market | Line | Cardinals | Mets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | - | +138 | -167 |
| Spread | 1.5 | +1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | O/U 7.5 | - | - |
Player Props to Watch
- Will Smith Batting Triples O/U 0.5 (Over -1519)
- Steven Kwan Batting Triples O/U 0.5 (Over -1048)
- Max Muncy Batting Triples O/U 0.5 (Over -1519)
- Jose Ramirez Batting Triples O/U 0.5 (Over -1048)
- Daniel Schneemann Batting Triples O/U 0.5 (Over -1362)
- CJ Kayfus Batting Triples O/U 0.5 (Over -1205)
- Brayan Rocchio Batting Triples O/U 0.5 (Over -1362)
- Alex Freeland Batting Triples O/U 0.5 (Over -1100)
Heavy juice on Overs suggests low triple probability; consider Unders.
Best Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals ML +138: 8-2 L10 and H2H edge vs slumping Mets.
- Cardinals +1.5: Safe play with home form and defensive parity.
- Under 7.5: Both teams at 3.8 allowed PPG, top defenses.
Prediction
Cardinals 4, Mets 3. St. Louis rides momentum to upset. Updated Wednesday, April 1, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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