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New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays Odds, Picks & Prediction

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The Toronto Blue Jays will defeat the New York Mets 5-3 on Monday. Toronto boasts a stronger 6-4 record over their last 10 games compared to the Mets' 4-6, with superior scoring (4.7 PPG vs 4.1) and defense (3.1 allowed vs 3.8). Both teams feature MLB's top-ranked pitching limiting home runs, RBIs, and more.

Quick Facts

Matchup
New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays
Date
Monday, February 23, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Spread
Toronto Blue Jays -
Total
O/U TBD
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays - / New York Mets -
Best Bet
Blue Jays Moneyline
Prediction
Blue Jays 5, Mets 3

Odds Comparison

Sportsbookawayhomelinemarket
New York MetsToronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays -Spread
--O/U TBDTotal
New York Mets -Toronto Blue Jays -Toronto Blue Jays - / New York Mets -Moneyline

Matchup Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays (6-4 L10, 4.7 PPG scored, 3.1 allowed, W1 streak) host the New York Mets (4-6 L10, 4.1 PPG scored, 3.8 allowed, W1 streak) on Monday at 6:07 PM ET. Toronto enters with hotter form and home-field advantage. Head-to-head in the last 5 meetings: Mets won four (2-1, 3-2, 5-0, 6-2) with Toronto taking the most recent 6-2 win at home.

By The Numbers

StatToronto Blue JaysNew York Mets
Record (L10)6-44-6
PPG4.74.1
Opp PPG3.13.8
StreakW1W1

Head-to-Head (Last 5)

ScoreWinner
Toronto 1 @ Mets 2Mets
Toronto 2 @ Mets 3Mets
Toronto 0 @ Mets 5Mets
Mets 6 @ Toronto 2Mets
Mets 2 @ Toronto 6Toronto

Defense vs Position Edges

  • Toronto Blue Jays: MLB #1 allows home runs (0/game to PRs), RBIs (0/game), walks (0/game), total bases (0/game)
  • New York Mets: MLB #1 allows home runs (0/game), RBIs (0/game), strikeouts (0/game), total bases (0/game), walks (0/game), hits (0/game)

Both teams dominate defensively, setting up a low-scoring affair.

Key Injuries

No significant injuries reported for either team.

Odds Analysis

Consensus odds favor the Toronto Blue Jays on the spread (Toronto -) and moneyline (Toronto - / Mets -), with total O/U TBD. Toronto's superior L10 form (6-4 vs 4-6) and stingy defense (3.1 allowed PPG) justify the favoritism despite Mets' recent H2H edge.

Player Props to Watch

With both teams ranked #1 in allowing 0 home runs, 0 RBIs, and minimal total bases/walks/hits per game to PRs, expect low props on power hitters from both sides. Unders on strikeouts and total bases are prime given elite pitching matchups.

Best Bets

  • Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline: 6-4 L10 trumps Mets' 4-6; home edge and recent 6-2 H2H win.
  • Toronto Blue Jays Spread (-): Better scoring (4.7 vs 4.1 PPG) and defense (3.1 vs 3.8 allowed) supports covering.
  • Under O/U TBD: Elite defenses (#1 ranks across HR/RBI/total bases) and combined scoring trends point low.

Prediction

Toronto Blue Jays win 5-3. Home form, defensive dominance, and offensive edge (4.7 PPG) overpower Mets' struggles on the road.

Updated Monday, February 23, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →

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