SC Freiburg at FC St. Pauli Odds, Picks & Prediction
SC Freiburg will win 1-0 against FC St. Pauli. Despite both teams' struggles—St. Pauli 0-1 L10 (0 PPG), Freiburg 1-3 L10 (1.3 PPG)—St. Pauli's 8 key injuries (forwards Hountondji, Jones; defenders Nemeth, Mets; midfielders Rasmussen, Sands) leave them depleted. Freiburg exploits this in low-scoring pick'em (O/U 2.25).
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- SC Freiburg at FC St. Pauli
- Date
- Sunday, March 22, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
- Spread
- FC St. Pauli 0
- Total
- O/U 2.25
- Moneyline
- FC St. Pauli +180 / SC Freiburg +180
- Best Bet
- Freiburg ML +180
- Prediction
- SC Freiburg 1-0
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg 0 | FC St. Pauli 0 | 0 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 2.25 | Total | |
| +180 | +180 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
FC St. Pauli hosts SC Freiburg in a Bundesliga clash with both sides in poor form. The home side is 0-1 in their last 10 (0 PPG scored, 2 allowed), on a L1 streak. SC Freiburg fares slightly better at 1-3 L10 (1.3 PPG scored, 1.8 allowed), but rides a L3 streak. St. Pauli's injury-riddled squad faces a Freiburg team that ranks #2 in allowing shots (0.9604/game to ALLs) and #4 in shots on target (0.3613/game).
By The Numbers
| Stat | FC St. Pauli (Home) | SC Freiburg (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| PPG | 0 | 1.3 |
| Opp PPG | 2 | 1.8 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
St. Pauli ranks #1 in allowing assists (0.1961/game to ALLs) and #4 in fouls (1.4898/game), but their depleted roster hampers output.
Key Injuries
- FC St. Pauli: Andréas Hountondji (CF, Out), Mathias Rasmussen (CM, Out), David Nemeth (CB, Out), Manolis Saliakas (RB, Out), Ricky-Jade Jones (CF, Out), Simon Spari (GK, Out), James Sands (DM, Out), Karol Mets (CB, Out)
- SC Freiburg: Lukas Kübler (RB, Out), Max Rosenfelder (CB, Out), Daniel-Kofi Kyereh (AM, Out)
St. Pauli's 8 absences gut their attack and defense, tilting the scales toward Freiburg.
Odds Analysis
Pick'em vibes with Spread FC St. Pauli 0 and even Moneyline (+180 both sides). Total O/U 2.25 fits low-scoring trends: St. Pauli 0 PPG, Freiburg 1.3 PPG. Freiburg's defensive edges (#2 shots allowed) support an under.
Player Props to Watch
- Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Shots O/U 0.5 (Over -129), Shots on Goal O/U 0.5 (Over -385), Points O/U 1.5 (Over +25000)
- Finn Dahmen Goalie Saves O/U 3 (Over +100), Goals Against O/U 1.5 (Over +100)
- Alexander Nubel Goalie Saves O/U 3 (Over +100)
- Robin Fellhauer Assists O/U 0.5 (Over -715)
- Ramon Hendriks Assists O/U 0.5 (Over -935)
Gouweleeuw's heavy favorites on shots highlight his involvement against St. Pauli's weak backline.
Best Bets
- SC Freiburg ML +180: Injuries decimate St. Pauli (8 out); Freiburg's 1.3 PPG edges their 0 PPG.
- Under 2.25: Combined 1.3 PPG trends, Freiburg allows 1.8 Opp PPG but #2 vs shots.
- Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Shots O 0.5 (-129): Strong prop vs St. Pauli's #1 assists allowed but vulnerable defense.
Prediction
SC Freiburg grinds out a 1-0 win, capitalizing on St. Pauli's injury crisis in a defensive battle.
Updated Sunday, March 22, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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