SCF at STP Odds, Picks & Prediction
SC Freiburg (SCF) defeats St. Pauli (STP) 2-1. SCF's stronger L10 record (4-6 vs. STP's 1-9), higher scoring at 1.4 PPG (vs. 0.7), and head-to-head win (2-1) give them the edge despite both L3 streaks. SCF's Ginter (0.7 gpg) outpaces STP's low-output attack.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- SCF at STP
- Date
- Sunday, March 22, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
- Spread
- STP 0
- Total
- O/U 2.5
- Moneyline
- STP - / SCF -
- Best Bet
- SCF Moneyline
- Prediction
- SCF 2-1
Matchup Preview
St. Pauli (STP) hosts SC Freiburg (SCF) in Bundesliga action at 12:30 PM ET. STP's home form is abysmal: 1-9 in their last 10, scoring just 0.7 PPG while allowing 1.5. Key players like Mathias Pereira Lage, Joel Chima Fujita, and Hauke Wahl each average 0.5 goals/game (high: 1), but Arkadiusz Pyrka and Danel Sinani have 0 gpg.
SCF fares better at 4-6 L10, netting 1.4 PPG but conceding 1.7. Matthias Ginter leads with 0.7 gpg (high: 1), supported by Yuito Suzuki, Igor Matanovic, and Vincenzo Grifo at 0.3 each. Both teams enter on L3 streaks, but SCF won the last H2H 2-1.
By The Numbers
| Stat | STP (Home) | SCF (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 1-9 | 4-6 |
| PPG | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| Opp PPG | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
Key Injuries
No significant injuries reported for either team, setting up a full-strength clash.
Odds Analysis
Consensus odds show a pick'em spread at STP 0, reflecting home edge despite form. Total sits at O/U 2.5, fitting low-scoring trends (STP 0.7 PPG, SCF 1.4). Moneyline: STP - / SCF -. Low outputs suggest value on under or SCF upset.
Player Props to Watch
- Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Shots Over/Under 0.5: Over -129
- Finn Dahmen Goalie Saves Over/Under 3: Over +100
- Alexander Nubel Goalie Saves Over/Under 3: Over +100
- Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Points Over/Under 1.5: Over +25000
- Finn Dahmen Goals Against Over/Under 1.5: Over +100
- Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Shots on Goal Over/Under 0.5: Over -385
- Robin Fellhauer Assists Over/Under 0.5: Over -715
- Ramon Hendriks Assists Over/Under 0.5: Over -935
Best Bets
- SCF Moneyline: SCF's 1.4 PPG and 4-6 L10 trump STP's 1-9 slump and 0.7 PPG.
- Under 2.5 Total: Combined avg ~2.1 goals/game; both defenses hold firm (STP allows 1.5, SCF 1.7).
- Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Shots o0.5 (-129): Strong prop value on active player.
Prediction
SCF grinds out a 2-1 road win, capitalizing on STP's offensive woes. Expect Ginter to score, with SCF's edge in H2H sealing it.
Updated Sunday, March 22, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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