SGE at M05 Odds, Picks & Prediction
M05 will win 2-1 against SGE. Mainz 05 boasts superior recent form with a 5-5 record over their last 10 games compared to SGE's dismal 2-8. They also allow fewer goals (1.3 per game vs 1.7), giving them a defensive edge at home despite both teams entering on a W1 streak.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- SGE at M05
- Date
- Sunday, March 22, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
- Spread
- M05 -
- Total
- O/U TBD
- Moneyline
- M05 - / SGE -
- Best Bet
- M05 Moneyline
- Prediction
- M05 2, SGE 1
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U TBD | Total | |
| - | - | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
Mainz 05 (M05) hosts SGE in Bundesliga action on Sunday. M05 enters with solid home form, posting a 5-5 record over their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and just 1.3 allowed per game. They're on a W1 streak, led by Lee Jae-Sung (0.5 goals/game, high of 1) and Danny da Costa (0.5 goals/game, high of 1). SGE struggles with a 2-8 L10 record, scoring 1.5 PPG while allowing 1.7, also on W1. Key threats include Jonathan Burkardt, Farès Chaïbi, and Jean-Mattéo Bahoya (all 0.5 goals/game, high of 1).
Head-to-head in last 5: M05 0 @ SGE 1, SGE 1 @ M05 1, M05 3 @ SGE 1, M05 0 @ SGE 1, SGE 1 @ M05 1. Low-scoring affairs dominate, with draws common at M05.
By The Numbers
| Stat | M05 (Home) | SGE (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| PPG | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Opp PPG | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Streak | W1 | W1 |
Key Injuries
No significant injuries reported for either team.
Consensus Odds Analysis
Spread: M05 -. Total: O/U TBD. Moneyline: M05 - / SGE -. M05 favored at home given form edge. Low scoring trends (M05 1.6/1.3, SGE 1.5/1.7) suggest under lean if total sets around 2.5-3.
Player Props to Watch
- Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Shots Over/Under 0.5: Over -129
- Finn Dahmen Goalie Saves Over/Under 3: Over +100
- Alexander Nubel Goalie Saves Over/Under 3: Over +100
- Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Points Over/Under 1.5: Over +25000
- Finn Dahmen Goalie Goals Against Over/Under 1.5: Over +100
- Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Shots on Goal Over/Under 0.5: Over -385
- Robin Fellhauer Assists Over/Under 0.5: Over -715
- Ramon Hendriks Assists Over/Under 0.5: Over -935
Best Bets
- M05 Moneyline: Superior 5-5 L10 vs 2-8, better defense (1.3 allowed).
- Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Shots on Goal Over 0.5 (-385): Heavy favorite based on prop line.
- Robin Fellhauer Assists Over 0.5 (-715): Strong implied probability.
Prediction
M05 2, SGE 1. Mainz exploits SGE's poor form and leaky defense for a narrow home win.
Updated Sunday, March 22, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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