TSG Hoffenheim at FC Augsburg Odds, Picks & Prediction
TSG Hoffenheim wins 2-1 over FC Augsburg. Despite Hoffenheim's dismal 0-7 L10 record and 0.7 PPG, they allow fewer goals (2 PPG) than Augsburg's leaky 2.7 PPG allowed. Augsburg's injury crisis—four key outs including two centre-backs and a centre-forward—exposes their backline, ranked #5 allowing just 0.1176 goals/game but vulnerable now. Value on Hoffenheim +105 ML.
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- TSG Hoffenheim at FC Augsburg
- Date
- Friday, April 10, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
- Spread
- FC Augsburg +0.5
- Total
- O/U 3
- Moneyline
- FC Augsburg +240 / TSG Hoffenheim +105
- Best Bet
- Hoffenheim ML +105
- Prediction
- TSG Hoffenheim 2-1
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | +0.5 | FC Augsburg +0.5 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 3 | Total | |
| +105 | +240 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
FC Augsburg hosts TSG Hoffenheim in a Bundesliga clash where both sides are mired in misery. Augsburg's home form is dire: 0-3 record over L10 with 1 PPG scored but 2.7 allowed, on a L3 streak. Key attackers like Fabian Rieder (0.3 goals/game, high 1), Arthur Chaves (0.3), and Anton Kade (0.3) have sputtered. Hoffenheim fares worse at 0-7 L10, scoring 0.7 PPG while allowing 2, on L7. Standouts include Grischa Prömel (0.3 goals/game) and Fisnik Asllani (0.3), but stars like Andrej Kramaric (0 goals/game) are silent.
By The Numbers
| Stat | FC Augsburg (Home) | TSG Hoffenheim (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 0-3 | 0-7 |
| PPG | 1 | 0.7 |
| Opp PPG | 2.7 | 2 |
| Streak | L3 | L7 |
Augsburg edges scoring but leaks more; Hoffenheim tighter defensively.
Key Injuries
FC Augsburg is hammered: Ismaël Gharbi (Left Winger) Out, Uchenna Ogundu (Centre-Forward) Out, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw (Centre-Back) Out, Chrislain Matsima (Centre-Back) Out, Yannik Keitel (Defensive Midfield) Out. Their backline is decimated, undermining strong defensive ranks (#5 allowing 0.3385 shots on target/game, 1.9811 tackles/game, 0.1176 goals/game).
Odds Analysis
Consensus odds reflect caution: Spread FC Augsburg +0.5, Total O/U 3, Moneyline Augsburg +240 / Hoffenheim +105. Hoffenheim's slight favoritism holds despite form, thanks to Augsburg's absences.
Player Props to Watch
- Vladimir Coufal Shots_assisted O/U 2 (+100 Over): High-volume fullback could exploit gaps.
- Bazoumana Touré Dribbles_attempted O/U 3.5 (+100 Over): Hoffenheim winger active despite 0 goals/game.
- Fabian Rieder Dribbles_attempted O/U 2 (+100 Over): Augsburg's 0.3 goals/game threat.
- Oliver Baumann Passes_attempted O/U 36.5 (+100 Over): Hoffenheim GK distribution key.
Best Bets
- TSG Hoffenheim ML +105: Better underlying metrics and Augsburg's injury-riddled defense make this value despite L7 streak.
- Under 3 (-110): Combined PPG (1 + 0.7 = 1.7 scored), Augsburg's low goals allowed (0.1176/game) points low-scoring grind.
- Bazoumana Touré Dribbles_attempted Over 3.5 +100: Active in L10, faces depleted Augsburg tackles allowance (#5 at 1.9811/game).
Final Prediction
TSG Hoffenheim grinds out a 2-1 victory, capitalizing on Augsburg's absences. Expect goals from Prömel or Asllani.
Updated Friday, April 10, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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