TSG Hoffenheim at RB Leipzig Odds, Picks & Prediction
RB Leipzig will win TSG Hoffenheim at RB Leipzig, predicted score 2-1. Despite key injuries like Gulácsi out, Leipzig's home form (1 PPG scored/allowed L10) edges Hoffenheim's dismal 0-3 L10 record, 0.7 PPG scoring, and L3 streak. Strong Leipzig defense ranks #2 in clearances (3.3973/game) and tackles allowed (2.2329/game).
Quick Facts
- Matchup
- TSG Hoffenheim at RB Leipzig
- Date
- Friday, March 20, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
- Spread
- RB Leipzig -0.5
- Total
- O/U 3.5
- Moneyline
- RB Leipzig -110 / TSG Hoffenheim +250
- Best Bet
- RB Leipzig ML -110
- Prediction
- RB Leipzig 2-1
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | away | home | line | market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | -110 | RB Leipzig -0.5 | Spread | |
| - | - | O/U 3.5 | Total | |
| +250 | -110 | - | Moneyline |
Matchup Preview
RB Leipzig hosts struggling TSG Hoffenheim in Bundesliga action on Friday, March 20, 2026, at 3:30 PM ET. Leipzig enters with a 1-1 record over their last 10 matches, scoring 1 PPG while allowing 1 PPG, on a L1 streak. Hoffenheim is winless in L10 at 0-3, managing just 0.7 PPG scored and 1 allowed, riding a L3 skid. Consensus odds favor Leipzig at -0.5 spread, -110 ML, with O/U 3.5.
By The Numbers
| Stat | RB Leipzig (Home) | TSG Hoffenheim (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Record (L10) | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| PPG Scored | 1 | 0.7 |
| PPG Allowed | 1 | 1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
Leipzig's defense shines, allowing clearances rank #2 (3.3973/game to all) and tackles rank #2 (2.2329/game to all).
Key Injuries
- RB Leipzig: Xaver Schlager (Central Midfield) — Out; Viggo Gebel (Attacking Midfield) — Out; Kosta Nedeljkovic (Right-Back) — Out; Péter Gulácsi (Goalkeeper) — Out; Assan Ouédraogo (Central Midfield) — Out.
Hoffenheim reports no major injuries listed.
Odds Analysis
RB Leipzig -110 ML reflects home edge despite injuries, with Hoffenheim +250 as big dogs. Spread at Leipzig -0.5 suits low-scoring trends (both teams ~1-1 PPG). Total 3.5 aligns with combined 1.7 PPG offense.
Player Props to Watch
- Vladimir Coufal Shots Over/Under 0.5 (Over -121)
- Oliver Baumann Goalie Saves Over/Under 3.5 (Over +100)
- Maarten Vandevoordt Goalie Saves Over/Under 3 (Over +100) — Leipzig backup GK with Gulácsi out.
- Leon Avdullahu Passes Attempted Over/Under 61.5 (Over +100)
- Antonio Nusa Passes Attempted Over/Under 20.5 (Over +100)
- Andrej Kramaric Passes Attempted Over/Under 34.5 (Over +100)
- Robin Hranac Assists Over/Under 0.5 (Over -812)
- Kelven Frees Assists Over/Under 0.5 (Over -733)
Best Bets
- RB Leipzig ML (-110): Superior L10 form (1-1 vs 0-3), home advantage, defensive edges outweigh injuries.
- Under 3.5 (-110 implied): Leipzig 1 PPG scored/allowed, Hoffenheim 0.7/1 PPG — low-output matchup.
- Maarten Vandevoordt Goalie Saves Over 3 (+100): Gulácsi out, faces Hoffenheim's attacks in likely tight game.
Prediction
RB Leipzig grinds out a 2-1 victory, exploiting Hoffenheim's poor form and L3 losses while leveraging top-ranked defensive stats against clearances and tackles.
Updated Friday, March 20, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →
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