Wolverhampton Wanderers at BUR Odds, Picks & Prediction

Matchup Preview: A Clash of the Struggling

On Sunday, May 24, 2026, the EPL sees two of the league's most inconsistent sides collide as Wolverhampton Wanderers travel to face BUR. The consensus odds have set the spread at BUR 0, indicating a virtual pick'em game, while the moneyline sits at BUR +140 and Wolverhampton Wanderers +175. The total is set at an exceptionally low O/U 2.5, reflecting the offensive struggles of both squads.

BUR enters this fixture with a 1-9 record in their last 10 games, scoring just 0.9 goals per game (PPG) while allowing 2.1. They are currently on a three-game losing streak. Wolverhampton Wanderers are in even worse form, sitting at 0-10 in their last 10 games with a dismal 0.6 PPG. The Wolves are riding a 10-game losing streak, having failed to score more than one goal in most of those outings.

By The Numbers

The statistical gap between these two teams is narrow, particularly in defense. Both teams allow 2.1 PPG. However, Wolverhampton Wanderers boast one of the best defenses in the league by shots allowed. They rank #2 allowing only 0.8579 shots per game to all opponents and rank #4 in goals allowed (0.0934/game) and shots on target allowed (0.2973/game).

Stat	Home (BUR)	Away (Wolves)
Record (L10)	1-9	0-10
PPG	0.9	0.6
Opp PPG	2.1	2.1
Streak	L3	L10
Shots Allowed Rank	-	#2
Goals Allowed Rank	-	#4

Key Injuries

Wolverhampton Wanderers are decimated by injuries, which significantly impacts their ability to generate offense. Key absences include:

• Enso González (Left Winger) — Out
• Matt Doherty (Right-Back) — Out
• Ladislav Krejčí (Centre-Back) — Out
• José Sá (Goalkeeper) — Out
• Sam Johnstone (Goalkeeper) — Out

The absence of both starting goalkeepers (Sá and Johnstone) is a major concern for Wolves' defense, which has been their strongest asset. Meanwhile, their offense lacks firepower, with Mateus Mané leading the team with 0.4 goals/game and Santiago Bueno contributing 0.2 goals/game. André, Daniel Bentley, and Angel Gomes have yet to score this season.

Odds Analysis

The spread of BUR 0 suggests the market sees this as a toss-up. However, the moneyline of +140 for BUR vs +175 for Wolves indicates a slight lean toward the home side. The total of 2.5 is very low, which aligns with the Wolves' 0.6 PPG and BUR's 0.9 PPG. Given that Wolves allow fewer than 0.1 goals per game on average (rank #4), a low-scoring game is highly probable.

Player Props to Watch

• Mateus Mané (Wolves): Over 0.5 goals is risky given his 0.4 PPG, but his high of 1 goal makes it viable in a close game.
• Santiago Bueno (Wolves): With 0.2 PPG, look for him to contribute from set pieces given the lack of open-play creativity.
• Under 2.5 Goals: With Wolves allowing 0.2973 shots on target per game, this prop offers strong value.

Best Bets

1. Under 2.5 Goals: Both teams are struggling to score (0.9 and 0.6 PPG). Wolves' defense is elite in limiting shots. This is the safest play.
2. BUR Moneyline (+140): Home field advantage matters. Wolves are 0-10 L10, and BUR has managed 1 win in that span. The +140 price is attractive for a slight edge.
3. Under 1.5 Goals (Alternative): If you want higher odds, the Wolves' offense is stagnant, and BUR has only scored 0.9 PPG. A 1-0 or 0-0 scoreline is very likely.

Prediction

Wolverhampton Wanderers are in a deep slump, having lost 10 straight games. Their offense is missing key creators like González, and their goalkeeping situation is precarious with both Sá and Johnstone out. BUR, while also poor, has a slight home advantage and has managed to score 0.9 PPG. I predict a tight, defensive battle where BUR edges out a 1-0 victory.

Updated Sunday, May 24, 2026. All odds and stats powered by SportsClaw — real-time data from 40+ sportsbooks. Get picks on Telegram →